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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart prediction, tips and odds

Next match: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2026-10-23, German Bundesliga, kickoff 21:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/GERMAN BUNDESLIGA/2026-10-23
stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•18:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.94

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MODEL OVER 2.5

75%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

65%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

PROBABILITY

8.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
VfB Stuttgart
70%1.421.36
Draw
16%6.225.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14%7.406.00
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
VfB Stuttgart or draw
86%1.16—
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
30%3.38—
Either team wins (no draw)
84%1.19—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
91%1.101.06
Under 1.5 goals
9%10.636.60
Over 2.5 goals
75%1.331.27
Under 2.5 goals
25%4.053.40
Over 3.5 goals
56%1.801.72
Under 3.5 goals
45%2.252.13
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
65%1.54—
Not both score (NG)
35%2.86—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 11-2

WWWLD
DHAtlético Madrid1-1
LAHamburg SV0-1
WASlovan Bratislava3-0
WASC Paderborn 072-0
WHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 9-9

LWDLL
LHTSG Hoffenheim1-2
LAFC Cologne1-2
DASt. Pauli1-1
WASportfreunde Siegen3-0
LHMainz3-4

Head-to-head

2026-01-25
Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 3VfB Stuttgart
2025-08-30
VfB Stuttgart1 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach
2025-02-01
VfB Stuttgart1 - 2Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024-09-14
Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 3VfB Stuttgart
2024-05-18
VfB Stuttgart4 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Team comparison

#25 ▲2Power Index 69.6
Power Ranking
#107 ▼1Power Index 51.6
€400m5th in the league
Squad value
€135m13th in the league
Sebastian Hoeneßsince 3 Apr 2023 · 161 games · 1.81 pts/game
Head coach
Alexander Blessin NEWsince 22 Sep 2026 · 2 games · 0.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
70%Market 71%
Draw (X)
16%Market 16%
Away win (2)
14%Market 14%
Over 2.5 goals
75%Market 76%
Both teams to score
65%Market: —
Expected goals
2.8 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (8.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 18.7%
  2. 3 - 18.0%
  3. 2 - 07.4%
  4. 3 - 06.8%
  5. 1 - 16.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Borussia Mönchengladbach
Goals scored by VfB Stuttgart
01234501.92.31.30.50.20.015.46.33.71.50.40.127.48.75.12.00.60.136.88.04.71.90.50.144.75.63.31.30.40.152.63.11.80.70.20.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

VfB Stuttgart
Last 5, most recent first
LWLLW
Goals per game, for / against1.4 / 1.0
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last 5, most recent first
LLLLL
Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 3.4
Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-0-3
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-0-3

Form and team news

2 W0 D3 L1.4 for1.0 against

VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 per game.

0 W0 D5 L1.6 for3.4 against

Borussia Mönchengladbach have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 3.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of VfB Stuttgart

23/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBorussia Mönchengladbach
31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayBayer Leverkusen
7/11/2026 · GER.1HomeWerder Bremen

Next matches of Borussia Mönchengladbach

23/10/2026 · GER.1AwayVfB Stuttgart
31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Paderborn 07
6/11/2026 · GER.1AwayHamburg SV

More matches on this day

Our model gives VfB Stuttgart win 70%, draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 14%. over 2.5 goals 75%. both teams to score 65%. expected goals 2.76 - 1.18. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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