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Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor, 2026-10-23, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 20:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/TURKISH SUPER LIG/2026-10-23
stadiumTURKISH SUPER LIG•17:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS17:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.23

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

38%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

43%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Alanyaspor 1 - 0 Kocaelispor

PROBABILITY

14.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.4Exp. cards 4.3
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Alanyaspor
48%2.071.95
Draw
28%3.513.20
Kocaelispor
23%4.324.00
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Alanyaspor or draw
77%1.30—
Kocaelispor or draw
52%1.94—
Either team wins (no draw)
72%1.40—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
66%1.531.40
Under 1.5 goals
34%2.902.70
Over 2.5 goals
38%2.602.25
Under 2.5 goals
62%1.621.60
Over 3.5 goals
19%5.383.95
Under 3.5 goals
81%1.231.20
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
43%2.31—
Not both score (NG)
57%1.76—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
57%1.75—
Under 7.5 corners
43%2.33—
Over 8.5 corners
46%2.20—
Under 8.5 corners
55%1.83—
Over 9.5 corners
35%2.88—
Under 9.5 corners
65%1.53—
Over 10.5 corners
26%3.91—
Under 10.5 corners
74%1.34—
Over 11.5 corners
18%5.52—
Under 11.5 corners
82%1.22—
Over 12.5 corners
12%8.07—
Under 12.5 corners
88%1.14—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
91%1.10—
Under 1.5 cards
9%11.44—
Over 2.5 cards
79%1.27—
Under 2.5 cards
21%4.71—
Over 3.5 cards
61%1.64—
Under 3.5 cards
39%2.57—
Over 4.5 cards
42%2.36—
Under 4.5 cards
58%1.73—
Over 5.5 cards
26%3.80—
Under 5.5 cards
74%1.36—
Over 6.5 cards
15%6.69—
Under 6.5 cards
85%1.18—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER38%
add_circleAlanyaspor
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.34
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 5-6

WDWDL
LAFenerbahce0-3
DHErzurum BB0-0
WAÇorum FK2-1
DHGoztepe2-2
WACaykur Rizespor1-0
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 5-5

WLWLL
LHGoztepe1-2
LABesiktas1-2
WHGaziantep FK2-0
LAGalatasaray0-1
WHSamsunspor1-0

Head-to-head

2026-03-18
Alanyaspor5 - 0Kocaelispor
2025-10-25
Kocaelispor2 - 0Alanyaspor
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Team comparison

#210 ▼2Power Index 35.8
Power Ranking
#215 ▼4Power Index 35.3
€35m11th in the league
Squad value
€25m16th in the league
João Pereirasince 22 Mar 2025 · 58 games · 1.31 pts/game
Head coach
Selçuk İnansince 1 Jul 2025 · 47 games · 1.19 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
48%Market 49%
Draw (X)
28%Market 29%
Away win (2)
23%Market 23%
Over 2.5 goals
38%Market 41% -3
Both teams to score
43%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Alanyaspor 1 - 0 Kocaelispor (14.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 014.8%
  2. 1 - 112.7%
  3. 0 - 010.8%
  4. 2 - 010.1%
  5. 0 - 19.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Kocaelispor
Goals scored by Alanyaspor
012345010.89.34.01.10.20.0114.812.75.41.60.30.1210.18.73.71.10.20.034.64.01.70.50.10.041.61.40.60.20.00.050.40.40.20.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Alanyaspor
Last 5, most recent first
LDWDW
Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 1.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-2
Kocaelispor
Last 5, most recent first
LLWLW
Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 1.0
Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-3

Form and team news

2 W2 D1 L1.0 for1.2 against

Alanyaspor have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.

2 W0 D3 L1.0 for1.0 against

Kocaelispor have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Alanyaspor

23/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeKocaelispor
2/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayGenclerbirligi
8/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeTrabzonspor

Next matches of Kocaelispor

23/10/2026 · TUR.1AwayAlanyaspor
31/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeCaykur Rizespor
7/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayEyupspor

More matches on this day

Our model gives Alanyaspor win 48%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor win 23%. over 2.5 goals 38%. both teams to score 43%. expected goals 1.37 - 0.86. largest gap to the market: Kocaelispor win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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