1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg prediction, tips and odds

Next match: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, 2026-10-24, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

FC Augsburg

VS13:30 GMT

1. FC Union Berlin

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.27

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

64%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

63%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 11.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.48

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Under 11.5 corners

Expected corners: FC Augsburg 5.6, 1. FC Union Berlin 4.4, total 10.0 (line 11.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: FC Augsburg x0.97, 1. FC Union Berlin x0.96 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.48

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Augsburg 1 - 1 1. FC Union Berlin

PROBABILITY

9.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.0Exp. cards 3.7

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Augsburg

52%1.921.83

Draw

23%4.443.85

1. FC Union Berlin

25%3.943.65

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Augsburg or draw

75%1.34—

1. FC Union Berlin or draw

48%2.09—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.29—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

84%1.191.14

Under 1.5 goals

16%6.304.70

Over 2.5 goals

64%1.571.50

Under 2.5 goals

36%2.742.50

Over 3.5 goals

41%2.422.20

Under 3.5 goals

59%1.711.68

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

63%1.58—

Not both score (NG)

37%2.71—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

73%1.37—

Under 7.5 corners

27%3.73—

Over 8.5 corners

63%1.591.28

Under 8.5 corners

37%2.703.25

Over 9.5 corners

52%1.921.50

Under 9.5 corners

48%2.092.35

Over 10.5 corners

42%2.391.90

Under 10.5 corners

58%1.721.80

Over 11.5 corners

32%3.102.40

Under 11.5 corners

68%1.481.48

Over 12.5 corners

24%4.15—

Under 12.5 corners

76%1.32—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

87%1.14—

Under 1.5 cards

13%7.98—

Over 2.5 cards

71%1.40—

Under 2.5 cards

29%3.48—

Over 3.5 cards

51%1.96—

Under 3.5 cards

49%2.05—

Over 4.5 cards

32%3.09—

Under 4.5 cards

68%1.48—

Over 5.5 cards

18%5.44—

Under 5.5 cards

82%1.23—

Over 6.5 cards

10%10.33—

Under 6.5 cards

90%1.11—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER45%

add_circleFC Augsburg

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.04

BUILDER38%

add_circleFC Augsburg

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.41

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Augsburg

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 11-13

DLDDL

LASV Elversberg3-4

DHBayern Munich2-2

DHHertha Berlin2-2

LAWerder Bremen2-3

DHBayer Leverkusen2-2

1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 3-10

LLWWD

DHBorussia Dortmund0-0

WHSV Elversberg1-0

WARijeka1-0

LABayern Munich0-7

LHSchalke 041-3

Head-to-head

2026-05-16

1. FC Union Berlin4 - 0FC Augsburg

2026-01-15

FC Augsburg1 - 11. FC Union Berlin

2025-05-17

FC Augsburg1 - 21. FC Union Berlin

2025-01-15

1. FC Union Berlin0 - 2FC Augsburg

2024-04-12

FC Augsburg2 - 01. FC Union Berlin

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Team comparison

FC Augsburg

VS

1. FC Union Berlin

#89 ▼1Power Index 54.2

Power Ranking

#122 ▲1Power Index 49.3

€192m9th in the league

Squad value

€111m15th in the league

Manuel Baumsince 1 Dec 2025 · 29 games · 1.52 pts/game

Head coach

Mauro Lustrinellisince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.14 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

52%Market 52%

Draw (X)

23%Market 23%

Away win (2)

25%Market 25%

Over 2.5 goals

64%Market 64%

Both teams to score

63%Market: —

Expected goals

2.0 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Augsburg 1 - 1 1. FC Union Berlin (9.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 19.8%
2. 2 - 19.5%
3. 1 - 07.4%
4. 2 - 07.3%
5. 1 - 26.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by 1. FC Union Berlin

Goals scored by FC Augsburg

01234503.85.03.31.40.50.117.49.86.42.80.90.227.39.56.32.80.90.234.76.24.11.80.60.242.33.12.00.90.30.150.91.20.80.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

FC Augsburg

Last 5, most recent first

LDLDW

Goals per game, for / against2.6 / 2.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-2

1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5, most recent first

DWLLL

Goals per game, for / against0.4 / 2.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-0-2

Form and team news

FC Augsburg

1 W2 D2 L2.6 for2.4 against

FC Augsburg have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 2.4 per game.

1. FC Union Berlin

1 W1 D3 L0.4 for2.8 against

1. FC Union Berlin have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.8 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of FC Augsburg

24/10/2026 · GER.1Home1. FC Union Berlin

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Freiburg

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayRB Leipzig

Next matches of 1. FC Union Berlin

24/10/2026 · GER.1AwayFC Augsburg

1/11/2026 · GER.1HomeFC Cologne

8/11/2026 · GER.1AwaySC Freiburg

Our model gives FC Augsburg win 52%, draw 23%, 1. FC Union Berlin win 25%. over 2.5 goals 64%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 1.96 - 1.32. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.