18+Trial period: all tips are freeSee how our algorithm calculates →
menu
PredictionsBet BuildersResultsAnalysisTablesClubs RankingPlayers RankingAcademyToolsModel DesksContactLog in
ELEN
Join Telegram

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC, 2026-10-25, MLS, kickoff 03:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/MLS/2026-10-25
stadiumMLS•01:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
Real Salt LakeHOME

Real Salt Lake

VS01:30 GMT

St. Louis CITY SC

St. Louis CITY SCAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.22

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

62%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

64%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%26%33%39%45%05:1811:38
1 Real Salt LakeX2 St. Louis CITY SC
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Real Salt Lake (1)37.9%40%2.50trending_up+2.2 pp
Draw (X)25.1%24.6%4.07trending_down-0.5 pp
St. Louis CITY SC (2)37.1%35.4%2.82trending_down-1.7 pp
compare_arrows

Team comparison

VS
#145 ▲3Power Index 46.3
Power Ranking
#97 ▼1Power Index 52.5

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 St. Louis CITY SC

PROBABILITY

10.3%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Salt Lake
42%2.372.20
Draw
24%4.193.80
St. Louis CITY SC
34%2.942.75
shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Salt Lake or draw
66%1.51—
St. Louis CITY SC or draw
58%1.73—
Either team wins (no draw)
76%1.31—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
83%1.20—
Under 1.5 goals
17%6.03—
Over 2.5 goals
62%1.60—
Under 2.5 goals
38%2.66—
Over 3.5 goals
40%2.49—
Under 3.5 goals
60%1.67—
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
64%1.56—
Not both score (NG)
36%2.79—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 8-6

LWLDW
WASporting Kansas City3-1
DHSan Jose Earthquakes1-1
LAPhiladelphia Union1-2
WHNew England Revolution3-0
LASeattle Sounders FC0-2
St. Louis CITY SC

St. Louis CITY SC

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 11-5

WWDLW
WAColumbus Crew0-0
LAMinnesota United FC2-3
DHVancouver Whitecaps0-0
WHLA Galaxy6-2
WARed Bull New York3-0

Head-to-head

2026-08-02
St. Louis CITY SC1 - 1Real Salt Lake
2025-10-19
St. Louis CITY SC2 - 2Real Salt Lake
2025-07-06
Real Salt Lake3 - 2St. Louis CITY SC
2024-03-31
Real Salt Lake3 - 1St. Louis CITY SC
2024-02-25
St. Louis CITY SC1 - 1Real Salt Lake
analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
42%Market 43%
Draw (X)
24%Market 24%
Away win (2)
34%Market 34%
Over 2.5 goals
62%Market: —
Both teams to score
64%Market: —
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 St. Louis CITY SC (10.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.3%
  2. 2 - 18.8%
  3. 1 - 27.8%
  4. 1 - 06.8%
  5. 2 - 26.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by St. Louis CITY SC
Goals scored by Real Salt Lake
01234504.06.14.62.30.90.316.810.37.83.91.50.525.88.86.73.41.30.433.35.03.81.90.70.241.42.11.60.80.30.150.50.70.60.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Real Salt Lake
Last 5, most recent first
WDLWL
Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 1.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-4
St. Louis CITY SC
Last 5, most recent first
LDWWW
Goals per game, for / against2.8 / 1.2
Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-2-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

Absences

Real Salt Lake2 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Left midfieldInjuredKnee injury11/9/2026
Centre-backInjuredAdductor injury21/7/2026
St. Louis CITY SC5 out
PlayerPositionStatusReasonSince
Centre-backInjured13
Left wingerInjuredCruciate ligament tear30/3/2026
Centre-backInjured30
Right-backInjured21
Right-backInjured26

Source: Transfermarkt, 24/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

Real Salt Lake
2 W1 D2 L1.6 for1.2 against2 out

Real Salt Lake have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 2 players are out.

St. Louis CITY SC
3 W1 D1 L2.8 for1.2 against5 out

St. Louis CITY SC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 5 players are out, including key players Fallou Fall.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Diego Luna, Midfielder Real Salt Lake
10Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
Position
Midfielder
Age
23
Nationality
USA
Height
173 cm

Season stats, all competitions

16Appearances
5Goals
7Assists
38Shots
13Shots on target
18Fouls committed
21Fouls won
2Offsides
6Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.31 goals per game, 0.44 assists per game, 2.38 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

Justen Glad, Defender Real Salt Lake
15Justen Glad
Real Salt Lake
Position
Defender
Age
29
Nationality
USA
Height
183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

12Appearances
0Goals
2Assists
4Shots
1Shots on target
8Fouls committed
5Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.17 assists per game, 0.33 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

Fallou Fall, Defender St. Louis CITY SC
27Fallou Fall
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
22 (15/4/2004)
Nationality
Senegal, France
Height
193 cm
Market value
€2.8m
Contract until
31/12/2028

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances
1Goals
0Assists
4Shots
1Shots on target
14Fouls committed
9Fouls won
0Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 goals per game, 0.57 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

Célio Pompeu, Midfielder St. Louis CITY SC
12Célio Pompeu
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
26
Nationality
Brazil
Height
178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

1Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
5Shots
2Shots on target
0Fouls committed
2Fouls won
0Offsides
0Yellow cards
0Red cards

Full profile and match history →

21Dante Polvara
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Midfielder
Age
26 (21/6/2000)
Nationality
United States, Italy
Height
193 cm
Market value
€1.0m
Contract until
30/6/2028

Season stats, all competitions

33Appearances
1Goals
2Assists
21Shots
3Shots on target
31Fouls committed
30Fouls won
1Offsides
6Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.03 goals per game, 0.06 assists per game, 0.64 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

99Jaziel Orozco
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
22 (2/6/2004)
Nationality
United States, Mexico
Height
175 cm
Market value
€500k
Contract until
31/12/2026

Season stats, all competitions

16Appearances
0Goals
0Assists
3Shots
0Shots on target
29Fouls committed
11Fouls won
1Offsides
4Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.19 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

14Tomas Totland
St. Louis CITY SC
Position
Defender
Age
27 (28/9/1999)
Nationality
Norway, United States
Height
180 cm
Market value
€1.0m
Contract until
31/12/2026

Season stats, all competitions

24Appearances
4Goals
7Assists
18Shots
6Shots on target
36Fouls committed
20Fouls won
9Offsides
5Yellow cards
0Red cards

How the season reads

0.17 goals per game, 0.29 assists per game, 0.75 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

Next matches of Real Salt Lake

25/10/2026 · USA.1HomeSt. Louis CITY SC
29/10/2026 · USA.1AwayAustin FC
31/10/2026 · USA.1AwaySan Jose Earthquakes

Next matches of St. Louis CITY SC

25/10/2026 · USA.1AwayReal Salt Lake
29/10/2026 · USA.1HomePortland Timbers
31/10/2026 · USA.1HomeSan Diego FC
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis CITY SC

More matches on this day

Our model gives Real Salt Lake win 42%, draw 24%, St. Louis CITY SC win 34%. over 2.5 goals 62%. both teams to score 64%. expected goals 1.71 - 1.51. largest gap to the market: Real Salt Lake win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

Sign up free and join our Telegram

During the trial all data is free. An account gives you the dashboard and analyses, and on Telegram you get the tips and results every day. Statistics, not gut feeling.

Free sign-upsendJoin Telegram