Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg prediction, tips and odds

Next match: SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich, 2026-10-25, German Bundesliga, kickoff 18:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•16:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

SC Freiburg

VS16:30 GMT

Bayern Munich

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.11

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

78%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

68%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.40

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 68%.

Indicative odds: 1.40

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

SC Freiburg 1 - 2 Bayern Munich

PROBABILITY

8.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.2Exp. cards 3.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Freiburg

14%7.096.00

Draw

16%6.315.50

Bayern Munich

70%1.431.36

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Freiburg or draw

30%3.34—

Bayern Munich or draw

86%1.16—

Either team wins (no draw)

84%1.19—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

92%1.091.05

Under 1.5 goals

8%12.186.90

Over 2.5 goals

78%1.291.23

Under 2.5 goals

22%4.493.70

Over 3.5 goals

59%1.701.65

Under 3.5 goals

41%2.422.25

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

68%1.48—

Not both score (NG)

32%3.10—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

66%1.52—

Under 7.5 corners

34%2.92—

Over 8.5 corners

55%1.831.42

Under 8.5 corners

45%2.202.55

Over 9.5 corners

44%2.291.80

Under 9.5 corners

56%1.771.90

Over 10.5 corners

34%2.982.30

Under 10.5 corners

66%1.501.52

Over 11.5 corners

25%4.023.05

Under 11.5 corners

75%1.331.30

Over 12.5 corners

18%5.61—

Under 12.5 corners

82%1.22—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

83%1.21—

Under 1.5 cards

18%5.72—

Over 2.5 cards

63%1.601.50

Under 2.5 cards

37%2.682.35

Over 3.5 cards

41%2.432.20

Under 3.5 cards

59%1.701.60

Over 4.5 cards

24%4.23—

Under 4.5 cards

76%1.31—

Over 5.5 cards

12%8.15—

Under 5.5 cards

88%1.14—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

SC Freiburg

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 12-9

DWWWL

LABayer Leverkusen1-2

WHJablonec3-2

WHSchalke 042-1

WHFC Luzern4-2

DAEintracht Frankfurt2-2

Bayern Munich

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 20-8

WDDWD

DHArsenal2-2

WHRB Leipzig6-1

DAViking FK3-3

DAFC Augsburg2-2

WH1. FC Union Berlin7-0

Head-to-head

2026-04-04

SC Freiburg2 - 3Bayern Munich

2025-11-22

Bayern Munich6 - 2SC Freiburg

2025-01-25

SC Freiburg1 - 2Bayern Munich

2024-09-01

Bayern Munich2 - 0SC Freiburg

2024-03-01

SC Freiburg2 - 2Bayern Munich

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Team comparison

SC Freiburg

VS

Bayern Munich

#49 ▲1Power Index 63.0

Power Ranking

#1Power Index 88.2

€244m8th in the league

Squad value

€1.04bn1st in the league

Julian Schustersince 1 Jul 2024 · 101 games · 1.72 pts/game

Head coach

Vincent Kompanysince 1 Jul 2024 · 120 games · 2.43 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

14%Market 14%

Draw (X)

16%Market 15%

Away win (2)

70%Market 71%

Over 2.5 goals

78%Market 78%

Both teams to score

68%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 2.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: SC Freiburg 1 - 2 Bayern Munich (8.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 28.4%
2. 1 - 38.0%
3. 0 - 26.7%
4. 0 - 36.3%
5. 1 - 15.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Bayern Munich

Goals scored by SC Freiburg

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Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

SC Freiburg

Last 5, most recent first

LLWWD

Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 2.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Bayern Munich

Last 5, most recent first

DWDDW

Goals per game, for / against4.0 / 1.6

Home, W-D-L (last 10)4-1-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-3-0

Form and team news

SC Freiburg

2 W1 D2 L1.6 for2.0 against

SC Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 per game.

Bayern Munich

2 W3 D0 L4.0 for1.6 against

Bayern Munich have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of SC Freiburg

25/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBayern Munich

31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayFC Augsburg

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFAwayTrabzonspor

Next matches of Bayern Munich

25/10/2026 · GER.1AwaySC Freiburg

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBorussia Dortmund

3/11/2026 · UEFA.CHAMPIONSAwayAtlético Madrid

Our model gives SC Freiburg win 14%, draw 16%, Bayern Munich win 70%. over 2.5 goals 78%. both teams to score 68%. expected goals 1.26 - 2.85. largest gap to the market: Bayern Munich win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.