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Levante vs Real Sociedad prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Real Sociedad vs Levante, 2026-10-25, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 19:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/SPANISH LALIGA/2026-10-25
stadiumSPANISH LALIGA•17:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS17:30 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.16

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MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Levante

PROBABILITY

9.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.3Exp. cards 4.5
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Sociedad
58%1.731.67
Draw
22%4.594.30
Levante
20%4.914.80
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Sociedad or draw
80%1.26—
Levante or draw
42%2.37—
Either team wins (no draw)
78%1.28—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
83%1.211.15
Under 1.5 goals
17%5.784.50
Over 2.5 goals
61%1.631.60
Under 2.5 goals
39%2.582.35
Over 3.5 goals
39%2.572.35
Under 3.5 goals
61%1.641.55
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
59%1.69—
Not both score (NG)
41%2.45—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
75%1.33—
Under 7.5 corners
25%4.03—
Over 8.5 corners
65%1.531.32
Under 8.5 corners
35%2.883.00
Over 9.5 corners
55%1.831.58
Under 9.5 corners
45%2.202.25
Over 10.5 corners
44%2.262.02
Under 10.5 corners
56%1.791.70
Over 11.5 corners
35%2.902.60
Under 11.5 corners
65%1.531.42
Over 12.5 corners
26%3.83—
Under 12.5 corners
74%1.35—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
93%1.08—
Under 1.5 cards
7%13.40—
Over 2.5 cards
82%1.23—
Under 2.5 cards
18%5.43—
Over 3.5 cards
65%1.53—
Under 3.5 cards
35%2.87—
Over 4.5 cards
47%2.14—
Under 4.5 cards
53%1.88—
Over 5.5 cards
30%3.31—
Under 5.5 cards
70%1.43—
Over 6.5 cards
18%5.62—
Under 6.5 cards
82%1.22—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER50%
add_circleReal Sociedad
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.85
BUILDER41%
add_circleReal Sociedad
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.31
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 13-9

LWWDW
WAMálaga5-2
DAUnion St.-Gilloise1-1
WHDeportivo3-2
WAValencia3-2
LHAFC Bournemouth1-2
Levante

Levante

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 10-12

LLDDW
WHAthletic Club3-1
DADeportivo1-1
DHSevilla3-3
LAVillarreal1-3
LHBarcelona2-4

Head-to-head

2026-04-04
Real Sociedad2 - 0Levante
2025-12-20
Levante1 - 1Real Sociedad
2022-05-06
Levante2 - 1Real Sociedad
2021-08-28
Real Sociedad1 - 0Levante
2021-03-07
Real Sociedad1 - 0Levante
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Team comparison

#46 ▲3Power Index 64.6
Power Ranking
#92 ▲1Power Index 53.8
€292m5th in the league
Squad value
€88m16th in the league
Pellegrino Matarazzosince 21 Dec 2025 · 37 games · 1.65 pts/game
Head coach
Luís Castrosince 20 Dec 2025 · 30 games · 1.30 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
58%Market 59%
Draw (X)
22%Market 22%
Away win (2)
20%Market 19%
Over 2.5 goals
61%Market 60%
Both teams to score
59%Market: —
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Levante (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 19.9%
  2. 1 - 19.7%
  3. 2 - 08.7%
  4. 1 - 08.6%
  5. 3 - 16.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Levante
Goals scored by Real Sociedad
01234504.24.82.71.00.30.118.69.75.52.10.60.128.79.95.62.10.60.135.96.73.81.40.40.143.03.41.90.70.20.051.21.40.80.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Real Sociedad
Last 5, most recent first
WWDWW
Goals per game, for / against3.6 / 1.4
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-2
Away, W-D-L (last 10)4-1-0
Levante
Last 5, most recent first
WDDLL
Goals per game, for / against2.0 / 2.4
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-3-2

Form and team news

4 W1 D0 L3.6 for1.4 against

Real Sociedad have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 3.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.

1 W2 D2 L2.0 for2.4 against

Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Real Sociedad

25/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeLevante
1/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayAthletic Club
5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeLyon

Next matches of Levante

25/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayReal Sociedad
31/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeAtlético Madrid
8/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayCelta Vigo

More matches on this day

Our model gives Real Sociedad win 58%, draw 22%, Levante win 20%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 2.03 - 1.13. largest gap to the market: Levante win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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