Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United, 2026-10-25, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Crystal Palace

VS14:00 GMT

Newcastle United

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.14

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MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

63%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle United

PROBABILITY

10.6%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.6Exp. cards 3.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Crystal Palace

34%2.943.00

Draw

24%4.133.60

Newcastle United

42%2.392.30

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Crystal Palace or draw

58%1.72—

Newcastle United or draw

66%1.51—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.32—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.211.14

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.664.60

Over 2.5 goals

61%1.651.58

Under 2.5 goals

39%2.542.35

Over 3.5 goals

38%2.612.30

Under 3.5 goals

62%1.621.57

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

63%1.59—

Not both score (NG)

37%2.69—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

70%1.43—

Under 7.5 corners

30%3.32—

Over 8.5 corners

59%1.691.42

Under 8.5 corners

41%2.442.60

Over 9.5 corners

48%2.081.73

Under 9.5 corners

52%1.932.00

Over 10.5 corners

38%2.642.20

Under 10.5 corners

62%1.611.60

Over 11.5 corners

29%3.482.85

Under 11.5 corners

71%1.401.35

Over 12.5 corners

21%4.76—

Under 12.5 corners

79%1.27—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

89%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.70—

Over 2.5 cards

73%1.37—

Under 2.5 cards

27%3.73—

Over 3.5 cards

54%1.871.60

Under 3.5 cards

46%2.152.20

Over 4.5 cards

35%2.882.35

Under 4.5 cards

65%1.531.50

Over 5.5 cards

20%4.97—

Under 5.5 cards

80%1.25—

Over 6.5 cards

11%9.27—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.12—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Crystal Palace

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-11

DLWLL

LABrighton & Hove Albion0-5

LALyon2-3

WHNottingham Forest3-1

LHBristol City0-2

DALeeds United0-0

Newcastle United

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 5-10

WLWLL

LHAston Villa0-1

LACoventry City1-4

WHHull City2-1

LALeeds United1-4

WAMillwall1-0

Head-to-head

2026-04-12

Crystal Palace2 - 1Newcastle United

2026-01-04

Newcastle United2 - 0Crystal Palace

2025-04-16

Newcastle United5 - 0Crystal Palace

2024-11-30

Crystal Palace1 - 1Newcastle United

2024-04-24

Crystal Palace2 - 0Newcastle United

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Team comparison

Crystal Palace

VS

Newcastle United

#28 ▼3Power Index 69.1

Power Ranking

#15 ▼1Power Index 76.7

€579m10th in the league

Squad value

€606m7th in the league

Pierre Sagesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.30 pts/game

Head coach

Matthias Jaisslesince 5 Aug 2026 · 9 games · 1.56 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

34%Market 32%

Draw (X)

24%Market 26%

Away win (2)

42%Market 42%

Over 2.5 goals

61%Market 61%

Both teams to score

63%Market: —

Expected goals

1.5 - 1.7

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle United (10.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.6%
2. 1 - 28.8%
3. 2 - 17.9%
4. 0 - 17.2%
5. 2 - 26.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Newcastle United

Goals scored by Crystal Palace

01234504.37.26.03.31.40.516.410.68.84.92.00.724.77.96.53.61.50.532.33.93.21.80.70.240.91.41.20.70.30.150.30.40.40.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Crystal Palace

Last 5, most recent first

DLLWD

Goals per game, for / against1.4 / 2.2

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-3

Newcastle United

Last 5, most recent first

LLWLD

Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 2.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-2

Form and team news

Crystal Palace

1 W2 D2 L1.4 for2.2 against

Crystal Palace have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2 per game.

Newcastle United

1 W1 D3 L1.2 for2.4 against

Newcastle United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Crystal Palace

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNewcastle United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayTottenham Hotspur

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeTSG Hoffenheim

Next matches of Newcastle United

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayCrystal Palace

2/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeEverton

7/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayFulham

Our model gives Crystal Palace win 34%, draw 24%, Newcastle United win 42%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 1.48 - 1.66. largest gap to the market: Crystal Palace win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.