AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth, 2026-10-25, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Manchester United

VS14:00 GMT

AFC Bournemouth

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.06

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MODEL OVER 2.5

59%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Manchester United 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth

PROBABILITY

10.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Manchester United

46%2.152.10

Draw

24%4.133.65

AFC Bournemouth

29%3.403.40

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Manchester United or draw

71%1.42—

AFC Bournemouth or draw

54%1.87—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.32—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

81%1.231.16

Under 1.5 goals

19%5.334.30

Over 2.5 goals

59%1.701.65

Under 2.5 goals

41%2.442.25

Over 3.5 goals

37%2.742.45

Under 3.5 goals

63%1.581.52

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.64—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.55—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER39%

add_circleManchester United

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.38

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Manchester United

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 4-9

DDLDL

LAComo1-4

DALeeds United1-1

LAAtlético Madrid0-2

DHTottenham Hotspur1-1

DAFulham1-1

AFC Bournemouth

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 8-7

WLLWW

WHSunderland2-0

WHSK Sturm Graz3-0

LAChelsea1-5

LHLiverpool0-1

WAReal Sociedad2-1

Head-to-head

2026-03-20

AFC Bournemouth2 - 2Manchester United

2025-12-15

Manchester United4 - 4AFC Bournemouth

2025-07-31

Manchester United4 - 1AFC Bournemouth

2025-04-27

AFC Bournemouth1 - 1Manchester United

2024-12-22

Manchester United0 - 3AFC Bournemouth

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Team comparison

Manchester United

VS

AFC Bournemouth

#16 ▼1Power Index 76.1

Power Ranking

#21Power Index 74.1

€923m5th in the league

Squad value

€574m11th in the league

Michael Carricksince 13 Jan 2026 · 27 games · 1.81 pts/game

Head coach

Marco Rosesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.50 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

46%Market 46%

Draw (X)

24%Market 26%

Away win (2)

29%Market 28%

Over 2.5 goals

59%Market 59%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Manchester United 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth (10.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.8%
2. 2 - 19.3%
3. 1 - 08.1%
4. 1 - 27.2%
5. 2 - 07.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AFC Bournemouth

Goals scored by Manchester United

01234504.76.34.21.90.60.218.110.87.23.21.10.327.09.36.22.80.90.234.05.43.61.60.50.141.72.31.50.70.20.150.60.80.50.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Manchester United

Last 5, most recent first

LDLDD

Goals per game, for / against0.8 / 1.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-3-3

AFC Bournemouth

Last 5, most recent first

WWWLL

Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 1.2

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-2-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Form and team news

Manchester United

0 W3 D2 L0.8 for1.8 against

Manchester United have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game.

AFC Bournemouth

3 W0 D2 L1.8 for1.2 against

AFC Bournemouth have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Manchester United

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeAFC Bournemouth

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayChelsea

3/11/2026 · UEFA.CHAMPIONSHomeAS Roma

Next matches of AFC Bournemouth

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayManchester United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeLeeds United

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAAwaySparta Prague

Our model gives Manchester United win 46%, draw 24%, AFC Bournemouth win 29%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.73 - 1.33. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.