Le Havre AC vs Marseille prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Marseille vs Le Havre AC, 2026-10-25, French Ligue 1, kickoff 18:15 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•16:15 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Marseille

VS16:15 GMT

Le Havre AC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.26

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MODEL OVER 2.5

63%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Marseille 2 - 1 Le Havre AC

PROBABILITY

9.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 3.8

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Marseille

62%1.621.59

Draw

20%4.894.70

Le Havre AC

18%5.595.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Marseille or draw

82%1.22—

Le Havre AC or draw

38%2.61—

Either team wins (no draw)

80%1.26—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

84%1.191.16

Under 1.5 goals

16%6.245.00

Over 2.5 goals

63%1.581.53

Under 2.5 goals

37%2.732.50

Over 3.5 goals

41%2.432.37

Under 3.5 goals

59%1.701.57

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

59%1.69—

Not both score (NG)

41%2.45—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

67%1.50—

Under 7.5 corners

33%2.99—

Over 8.5 corners

55%1.801.40

Under 8.5 corners

45%2.252.65

Over 9.5 corners

44%2.251.73

Under 9.5 corners

56%1.802.00

Over 10.5 corners

34%2.912.20

Under 10.5 corners

66%1.521.60

Over 11.5 corners

26%3.912.85

Under 11.5 corners

74%1.341.35

Over 12.5 corners

18%5.43—

Under 12.5 corners

82%1.23—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

88%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.61—

Over 2.5 cards

73%1.371.37

Under 2.5 cards

27%3.702.75

Over 3.5 cards

53%1.881.90

Under 3.5 cards

47%2.141.80

Over 4.5 cards

34%2.91—

Under 4.5 cards

66%1.52—

Over 5.5 cards

20%5.02—

Under 5.5 cards

80%1.25—

Over 6.5 cards

11%9.39—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.12—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER45%

add_circleMarseille

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.13

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Marseille

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 8-6

LLWLW

WAAngers5-2

LHOlympiacos0-1

WATroyes2-0

LAMontpellier0-1

LHParis Saint-Germain1-2

Le Havre AC

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 9-8

DLWLL

LHAJ Auxerre1-3

LALille0-1

WHBoulogne6-1

LAToulouse2-3

DHAngers0-0

Head-to-head

2026-05-10

Le Havre AC0 - 1Marseille

2025-10-18

Marseille6 - 2Le Havre AC

2025-05-10

Le Havre AC1 - 3Marseille

2025-01-05

Marseille5 - 1Le Havre AC

2024-05-19

Le Havre AC1 - 2Marseille

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Team comparison

Marseille

VS

Le Havre AC

#38 ▼1Power Index 67.0

Power Ranking

#163 ▼8Power Index 43.7

€189m9th in the league

Squad value

€62m16th in the league

Bruno Genesiosince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game

Head coach

Didier Digardsince 1 Jul 2024 · 77 games · 0.92 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

62%Market 62%

Draw (X)

20%Market 20%

Away win (2)

18%Market 19%

Over 2.5 goals

63%Market 63%

Both teams to score

59%Market: —

Expected goals

2.2 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Marseille 2 - 1 Le Havre AC (9.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 19.8%
2. 1 - 19.1%
3. 2 - 09.0%
4. 1 - 08.3%
5. 3 - 17.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Le Havre AC

Goals scored by Marseille

01234503.84.22.30.80.20.018.39.15.01.80.50.129.09.85.42.00.50.136.57.13.91.40.40.143.53.92.10.80.20.051.51.70.90.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Marseille

Last 5, most recent first

LWLWL

Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 1.2

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-3

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-4

Le Havre AC

Last 5, most recent first

LLLDL

Goals per game, for / against0.8 / 1.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-3

Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-2

Form and team news

Marseille

2 W0 D3 L1.6 for1.2 against

Marseille have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Le Havre AC

0 W1 D4 L0.8 for1.8 against

Le Havre AC have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Marseille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLe Havre AC

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeToulouse

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAAwayBayer Leverkusen

Next matches of Le Havre AC

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayMarseille

30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis Saint-Germain

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeLorient

Our model gives Marseille win 62%, draw 20%, Le Havre AC win 18%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 2.17 - 1.09. largest gap to the market: Le Havre AC win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.