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Racing Genk vs Standard Liege prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Racing Genk vs Standard Liege, 2026-10-25, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 14:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE/2026-10-25
stadiumBELGIAN PRO LEAGUE•12:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS12:30 GMT
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.07

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

59%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Racing Genk 1 - 1 Standard Liege

PROBABILITY

10.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.2Exp. cards 3.1
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Racing Genk
55%1.821.74
Draw
23%4.393.75
Standard Liege
22%4.504.50
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Racing Genk or draw
78%1.29—
Standard Liege or draw
45%2.22—
Either team wins (no draw)
77%1.29—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
81%1.23—
Under 1.5 goals
19%5.38—
Over 2.5 goals
59%1.691.54
Under 2.5 goals
41%2.452.30
Over 3.5 goals
37%2.71—
Under 3.5 goals
63%1.58—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
59%1.71—
Not both score (NG)
41%2.42—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER38%
add_circleRacing Genk
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.31
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Racing Genk

Racing Genk

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-6

DDLLW
WHKV Kortrijk3-0
LHFortuna Sittard1-2
LAClub Brugge0-3
DHKAA Gent1-1
DAAnderlecht0-0
Standard Liege

Standard Liege

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-9

WLLLL
LHRoyal Charleroi SC0-1
LHLens0-2
LAKAA Gent1-2
LAKVC Westerlo2-4
WHAntwerp1-0

Head-to-head

2026-05-16
Standard Liege0 - 0Racing Genk
2026-04-25
Racing Genk1 - 1Standard Liege
2026-02-22
Racing Genk0 - 3Standard Liege
2025-08-10
Standard Liege2 - 1Racing Genk
2025-02-14
Standard Liege1 - 2Racing Genk
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Team comparison

#103 ▲6Power Index 51.8
Power Ranking
#190 ▲2Power Index 39.3
€99m2nd in the league
Squad value
€53m7th in the league
Jess Thorupsince 14 Jul 2026 · 8 games · 1.50 pts/game
Head coach
Vincent Euvrardsince 27 Aug 2025 · 46 games · 1.46 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
55%Market 55%
Draw (X)
23%Market 24%
Away win (2)
22%Market 20%
Over 2.5 goals
59%Market 61%
Both teams to score
59%Market: —
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Racing Genk 1 - 1 Standard Liege (10.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.2%
  2. 2 - 19.8%
  3. 1 - 08.9%
  4. 2 - 08.6%
  5. 3 - 16.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Standard Liege
Goals scored by Racing Genk
01234504.65.33.11.20.30.118.910.25.92.30.60.128.69.85.72.20.60.135.56.33.61.40.40.142.63.01.70.70.20.051.01.20.70.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Racing Genk
Last 5, most recent first
WLDDW
Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 0.8
Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-2-2
Standard Liege
Last 5, most recent first
LLLWW
Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 1.6
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Form and team news

2 W2 D1 L1.6 for0.8 against

Racing Genk have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 per game.

2 W0 D3 L1.2 for1.6 against

Standard Liege have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Racing Genk

25/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeStandard Liege
31/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayKV Mechelen
8/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayUnion St.-Gilloise

Next matches of Standard Liege

25/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayRacing Genk
31/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeKV Kortrijk
6/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeWaasland-Beveren

More matches on this day

Our model gives Racing Genk win 55%, draw 23%, Standard Liege win 22%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.92 - 1.15. largest gap to the market: Standard Liege win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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