Newell's Old Boys vs San Lorenzo prediction, tips and odds

Next match: San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys, 2026-10-25, Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, kickoff 01:15 Athens time

stadiumARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FúTBOL•22:15 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

San Lorenzo

VS22:15 GMT

Newell's Old Boys

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

1.71

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

25%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

33%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams not to score (NG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips

compare_arrows

Team comparison

San Lorenzo

VS

Newell's Old Boys

#203 ▲4Power Index 37.5

Power Ranking

#236Power Index 30.6

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Both teams not to score (NG)

Our probability: 68%.

Indicative odds: 1.41

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Newell's Old Boys

PROBABILITY

18.1%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

San Lorenzo

37%2.702.60

Draw

35%2.892.75

Newell's Old Boys

28%3.523.25

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

San Lorenzo or draw

72%1.40—

Newell's Old Boys or draw

63%1.59—

Either team wins (no draw)

65%1.53—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

51%1.95—

Under 1.5 goals

49%2.06—

Over 2.5 goals

25%4.07—

Under 2.5 goals

75%1.33—

Over 3.5 goals

9%10.56—

Under 3.5 goals

91%1.10—

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

33%3.01—

Not both score (NG)

67%1.50—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

San Lorenzo

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 4-7

DLLWW

WAEstudiantes de La Plata2-1

WHDeportivo Riestra1-0

LADefensa y Justicia0-3

LHBoca Juniors0-2

DAIndependiente1-1

Newell's Old Boys

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 4-3

DWDLW

WHCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)2-1

LAGimnasia (Mendoza)0-1

DHLanús0-0

WAPlatense1-0

DHVélez Sarsfield1-1

Head-to-head

2026-04-12

Newell's Old Boys0 - 0San Lorenzo

2024-07-27

San Lorenzo1 - 1Newell's Old Boys

2024-03-04

Newell's Old Boys2 - 2San Lorenzo

2023-10-07

San Lorenzo0 - 3Newell's Old Boys

2023-03-20

Newell's Old Boys1 - 0San Lorenzo

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

37%Market 37%

Draw (X)

35%Market 34%

Away win (2)

28%Market 29%

Over 2.5 goals

25%Market: —

Both teams to score

33%Market: —

Expected goals

0.9 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Newell's Old Boys (18.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 018.1%
2. 1 - 016.9%
3. 0 - 114.1%
4. 1 - 113.1%
5. 2 - 07.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Newell's Old Boys

Goals scored by San Lorenzo

012345018.114.15.51.40.30.0116.913.15.11.30.30.027.96.12.40.60.10.032.41.90.70.20.00.040.60.40.20.00.00.050.10.10.00.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

San Lorenzo

Last 5, most recent first

WWLLD

Goals per game, for / against0.8 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-2

Newell's Old Boys

Last 5, most recent first

WLDWD

Goals per game, for / against0.8 / 0.6

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-2-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-2

Absences

San Lorenzo4 out

Player	Position	Status	Reason	Since
Rodrigo AuzmendiKey player	Centre-forward	Injured	13
Ezequiel Cerutti	Right winger	Injured	Cruciate ligament tear	12/3/2026
GHGastón Hernández	Centre-back	Injured	Cruciate ligament tear	12/3/2026
NBNahuel Barrios	Left winger	Injured	Cruciate ligament tear	30/7/2026

Newell's Old Boys1 out

Player	Position	Status	Reason	Since
SSSaúl Salcedo	Centre-back	Injured	Tibia and fibula fracture	15/6/2026

Source: Transfermarkt, 24/10/2026. Doubtful players are not listed.

Form and team news

San Lorenzo

2 W1 D2 L0.8 for1.4 against4 out

San Lorenzo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 4 players are out, including key players Rodrigo Auzmendi.

Newell's Old Boys

2 W2 D1 L0.8 for0.6 against1 out

Newell's Old Boys have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. According to Transfermarkt, 1 player is out.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

29Rodrigo Auzmendi

San Lorenzo

close

Position

Forward

Age

25 (2/1/2001)

Nationality

Argentina

Height

191 cm

Market value

€3.8m

Contract until

31/12/2026

Season stats, all competitions

9Appearances

5Goals

0Assists

36Shots

21Shots on target

15Fouls committed

10Fouls won

2Offsides

1Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.56 goals per game, 4.00 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

7Ezequiel Cerutti

San Lorenzo

close

Position

Forward

Age

34

Nationality

Argentina

Height

178 cm

Season stats, all competitions

6Appearances

0Goals

0Assists

7Shots

1Shots on target

11Fouls committed

15Fouls won

4Offsides

1Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

1.17 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

GH

23Gastón Hernández

San Lorenzo

close

Position

Defender

Age

28

Nationality

Argentina

Height

185 cm

Season stats, all competitions

9Appearances

0Goals

0Assists

2Shots

0Shots on target

7Fouls committed

10Fouls won

0Offsides

2Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.22 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

NB

28Nahuel Barrios

San Lorenzo

close

Position

Midfielder

Age

28

Nationality

Argentina

Height

155 cm

Season stats, all competitions

7Appearances

0Goals

1Assists

6Shots

1Shots on target

6Fouls committed

27Fouls won

0Offsides

1Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.14 assists per game, 0.86 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

SS

15Saúl Salcedo

Newell's Old Boys

close

Position

Defender

Age

29

Nationality

Paraguay

Height

183 cm

Season stats, all competitions

14Appearances

0Goals

0Assists

8Shots

3Shots on target

8Fouls committed

5Fouls won

0Offsides

4Yellow cards

0Red cards

How the season reads

0.57 shots per game. Estimates from season totals, not a prediction.

Full profile and match history →

Next matches of San Lorenzo

24/10/2026 · ARG.1HomeNewell's Old Boys

31/10/2026 · ARG.1AwayVélez Sarsfield

8/11/2026 · ARG.1HomePlatense

Next matches of Newell's Old Boys

24/10/2026 · ARG.1AwaySan Lorenzo

1/11/2026 · ARG.1HomeUnión (Santa Fe)

8/11/2026 · ARG.1AwayInstituto (Córdoba)

Our model gives San Lorenzo win 37%, draw 35%, Newell's Old Boys win 28%. over 2.5 goals 25%. both teams to score 33%. expected goals 0.93 - 0.78. largest gap to the market: Newell's Old Boys win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.