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Anderlecht vs KAA Gent prediction, tips and odds

Next match: KAA Gent vs Anderlecht, 2026-10-25, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 19:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE/2026-10-25
stadiumBELGIAN PRO LEAGUE•17:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS17:30 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.54

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

47%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

KAA Gent 1 - 1 Anderlecht

PROBABILITY

12.6%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 3.1
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
KAA Gent
42%2.352.30
Draw
27%3.673.15
Anderlecht
30%3.303.10
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
KAA Gent or draw
70%1.43—
Anderlecht or draw
58%1.74—
Either team wins (no draw)
73%1.37—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
72%1.38—
Under 1.5 goals
28%3.63—
Over 2.5 goals
47%2.141.95
Under 2.5 goals
53%1.871.77
Over 3.5 goals
25%3.98—
Under 3.5 goals
75%1.34—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
52%1.94—
Not both score (NG)
48%2.07—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

KAA Gent

KAA Gent

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 9-2

WDWWW
WHAGF1-0
WAZulte-Waregem2-0
WHStandard Liege2-1
DARacing Genk1-1
WACercle Brugge KSV3-0
Anderlecht

Anderlecht

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 9-4

LWWWL
LADinamo Zagreb0-1
WACercle Brugge KSV2-1
WHStade de Reims3-0
WHZulte-Waregem3-0
LHLyon1-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-10
KAA Gent1 - 1Anderlecht
2026-04-12
Anderlecht3 - 1KAA Gent
2026-01-18
KAA Gent4 - 2Anderlecht
2025-09-23
Anderlecht1 - 0KAA Gent
2025-04-27
KAA Gent0 - 1Anderlecht
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Team comparison

#130 ▲9Power Index 48.3
Power Ranking
#113 ▲1Power Index 50.8
€57m6th in the league
Squad value
€94m3rd in the league
Rik De Milsince 10 Dec 2025 · 41 games · 1.66 pts/game
Head coach
Vítor Brunosince 1 Jul 2026 · 16 games · 2.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
42%Market 41%
Draw (X)
27%Market 29%
Away win (2)
30%Market 30%
Over 2.5 goals
47%Market 47%
Both teams to score
52%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: KAA Gent 1 - 1 Anderlecht (12.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 112.6%
  2. 1 - 011.0%
  3. 0 - 19.0%
  4. 2 - 18.8%
  5. 0 - 07.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Anderlecht
Goals scored by KAA Gent
01234507.99.05.12.00.60.1111.012.67.22.70.80.227.78.85.01.90.50.133.64.12.30.90.30.141.31.40.80.30.10.050.40.40.20.10.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

KAA Gent
Last 5, most recent first
LWWWD
Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 0.8
Home, W-D-L (last 10)5-0-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-1
Anderlecht
Last 5, most recent first
WLWWL
Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 0.8
Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1
Away, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-3

Form and team news

3 W1 D1 L1.2 for0.8 against

KAA Gent have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game.

3 W0 D2 L1.8 for0.8 against

Anderlecht have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of KAA Gent

25/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeAnderlecht
1/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayLommel SK
5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFAwayKuPS Kuopio

Next matches of Anderlecht

25/10/2026 · BEL.1AwayKAA Gent
31/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeKVC Westerlo
5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeRB Salzburg

More matches on this day

Our model gives KAA Gent win 42%, draw 27%, Anderlecht win 30%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 1.40 - 1.14. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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