FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao, 2026-10-25, Portuguese Primeira Liga, kickoff 20:00 Athens time

stadiumPORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA•18:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Rio Ave

VS18:00 GMT

FC Famalicao

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.44

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

44%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Rio Ave 0 - 1 FC Famalicao

PROBABILITY

12.7%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.1Exp. cards 4.5

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Rio Ave

25%3.943.60

Draw

27%3.663.30

FC Famalicao

47%2.112.05

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Rio Ave or draw

53%1.90—

FC Famalicao or draw

75%1.34—

Either team wins (no draw)

73%1.38—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

70%1.42—

Under 1.5 goals

30%3.37—

Over 2.5 goals

44%2.282.05

Under 2.5 goals

56%1.781.69

Over 3.5 goals

23%4.37—

Under 3.5 goals

77%1.30—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

48%2.07—

Not both score (NG)

52%1.94—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

74%1.35—

Under 7.5 corners

26%3.88—

Over 8.5 corners

64%1.56—

Under 8.5 corners

36%2.78—

Over 9.5 corners

53%1.87—

Under 9.5 corners

47%2.15—

Over 10.5 corners

43%2.33—

Under 10.5 corners

57%1.75—

Over 11.5 corners

33%2.99—

Under 11.5 corners

67%1.50—

Over 12.5 corners

25%3.98—

Under 12.5 corners

75%1.34—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

92%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

8%13.25—

Over 2.5 cards

81%1.23—

Under 2.5 cards

19%5.37—

Over 3.5 cards

65%1.54—

Under 3.5 cards

35%2.85—

Over 4.5 cards

46%2.15—

Under 4.5 cards

54%1.87—

Over 5.5 cards

30%3.34—

Under 5.5 cards

70%1.43—

Over 6.5 cards

18%5.69—

Under 6.5 cards

82%1.21—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Rio Ave

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-10

LDLWW

WALouletano1-0

WHC.D. Nacional3-2

LAAlverca0-1

DHEstrela3-3

LASanta Clara0-4

FC Famalicao

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 8-8

DDWLL

LAParedes0-1

LHAlverca1-4

WAC.D. Nacional4-0

DHSporting CP1-1

DAEstrela2-2

Head-to-head

2026-03-01

Rio Ave0 - 0FC Famalicao

2025-09-28

FC Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave

2025-03-10

FC Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave

2024-10-04

Rio Ave1 - 1FC Famalicao

2024-02-16

FC Famalicao2 - 1Rio Ave

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Team comparison

Rio Ave

VS

FC Famalicao

#189 ▲4Power Index 39.4

Power Ranking

#94 ▼2Power Index 53.5

€44m10th in the league

Squad value

€70m5th in the league

Vasco Seabra NEWsince 4 Oct 2026 · 2 games · 3.00 pts/game

Head coach

Carlos Carvalhalsince 12 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 0.78 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

25%Market 26%

Draw (X)

27%Market 28%

Away win (2)

47%Market 47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%Market 45%

Both teams to score

48%Market: —

Expected goals

1.0 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Rio Ave 0 - 1 FC Famalicao (12.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 112.7%
2. 1 - 112.5%
3. 0 - 29.2%
4. 1 - 29.1%
5. 0 - 08.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Famalicao

Goals scored by Rio Ave

01234508.812.79.24.41.60.518.712.59.14.41.60.524.36.24.52.20.80.231.42.01.50.70.30.140.30.50.40.20.10.050.10.10.10.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Rio Ave

Last 5, most recent first

WLDLL

Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 2.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-3

FC Famalicao

Last 5, most recent first

LWDDD

Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-2-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-1

Form and team news

Rio Ave

1 W1 D3 L1.2 for2.8 against

Rio Ave have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8 per game.

FC Famalicao

1 W3 D1 L1.6 for1.4 against

FC Famalicao have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Rio Ave

25/10/2026 · POR.1HomeFC Famalicao

1/11/2026 · POR.1AwayAcadémico de Viseu

8/11/2026 · POR.1HomeBraga

Next matches of FC Famalicao

25/10/2026 · POR.1AwayRio Ave

1/11/2026 · POR.1AwayBraga

6/11/2026 · POR.1HomeArouca

Our model gives Rio Ave win 25%, draw 27%, FC Famalicao win 47%. over 2.5 goals 44%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 0.99 - 1.45. largest gap to the market: FC Famalicao win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.