New York City FC vs Orlando City SC prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Orlando City SC vs New York City FC, 2026-10-25, MLS, kickoff 02:30 Athens time

stadiumMLS•23:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Orlando City SC

VS23:30 GMT

New York City FC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.25

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

63%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

65%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Orlando City SC 1 - 1 New York City FC

PROBABILITY

10.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Orlando City SC

42%2.392.25

Draw

24%4.213.80

New York City FC

34%2.902.70

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Orlando City SC or draw

66%1.53—

New York City FC or draw

58%1.72—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

84%1.19—

Under 1.5 goals

16%6.18—

Over 2.5 goals

63%1.59—

Under 2.5 goals

37%2.70—

Over 3.5 goals

41%2.45—

Under 3.5 goals

59%1.69—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

65%1.55—

Not both score (NG)

35%2.83—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Orlando City SC

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 14-14

LLWDW

WHD.C. United4-1

DAToronto FC3-3

WHColumbus Crew3-2

LAPhiladelphia Union2-4

LANew England Revolution2-4

New York City FC

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-8

LDLLD

DHLAFC1-1

LAInter Miami CF0-2

LAChicago Fire FC1-2

DAAtlanta United FC2-2

LHRed Bull New York0-1

Head-to-head

2026-03-07

New York City FC5 - 0Orlando City SC

2025-07-17

Orlando City SC1 - 2New York City FC

2025-03-09

New York City FC2 - 1Orlando City SC

2024-07-20

Orlando City SC1 - 1New York City FC

2024-06-28

New York City FC4 - 2Orlando City SC

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Team comparison

Orlando City SC

VS

New York City FC

#111 ▲4Power Index 50.8

Power Ranking

#105Power Index 51.7

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

42%Market 42%

Draw (X)

24%Market 24%

Away win (2)

34%Market 34%

Over 2.5 goals

63%Market: —

Both teams to score

65%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Orlando City SC 1 - 1 New York City FC (10.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.2%
2. 2 - 18.7%
3. 1 - 27.9%
4. 2 - 26.7%
5. 1 - 06.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by New York City FC

Goals scored by Orlando City SC

01234503.96.04.62.40.90.316.610.27.94.01.50.525.78.76.73.41.30.433.25.03.82.00.80.241.42.11.60.80.30.150.50.70.60.30.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Orlando City SC

Last 5, most recent first

WDWLL

Goals per game, for / against2.8 / 2.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)5-0-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-2

New York City FC

Last 5, most recent first

DLLDL

Goals per game, for / against0.8 / 1.6

Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-2-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-3-2

Form and team news

Orlando City SC

2 W1 D2 L2.8 for2.8 against

Orlando City SC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.8 per game.

New York City FC

0 W2 D3 L0.8 for1.6 against

New York City FC have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Orlando City SC

24/10/2026 · USA.1HomeNew York City FC

29/10/2026 · USA.1AwayChicago Fire FC

31/10/2026 · USA.1AwayCharlotte FC

Next matches of New York City FC

24/10/2026 · USA.1AwayOrlando City SC

28/10/2026 · USA.1HomeAtlanta United FC

31/10/2026 · USA.1HomeCF Montréal

Our model gives Orlando City SC win 42%, draw 24%, New York City FC win 34%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 65%. expected goals 1.71 - 1.54. largest gap to the market: New York City FC win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.