Fiorentina vs Internazionale prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Internazionale vs Fiorentina, 2026-10-25, Italian Serie A, kickoff 13:30 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•11:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Internazionale

VS11:30 GMT

Fiorentina

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.67

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MODEL OVER 2.5

71%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Internazionale 2 - 1 Fiorentina

PROBABILITY

9.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.1Exp. cards 3.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Internazionale

73%1.381.34

Draw

16%6.305.25

Fiorentina

11%8.717.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Internazionale or draw

89%1.13—

Fiorentina or draw

27%3.66—

Either team wins (no draw)

84%1.19—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

88%1.13—

Under 1.5 goals

12%8.58—

Over 2.5 goals

71%1.41—

Under 2.5 goals

29%3.45—

Over 3.5 goals

50%2.00—

Under 3.5 goals

50%2.00—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

59%1.69—

Not both score (NG)

41%2.44—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

65%1.55—

Under 7.5 corners

35%2.82—

Over 8.5 corners

53%1.88—

Under 8.5 corners

47%2.14—

Over 9.5 corners

42%2.36—

Under 9.5 corners

58%1.73—

Over 10.5 corners

32%3.09—

Under 10.5 corners

68%1.48—

Over 11.5 corners

24%4.19—

Under 11.5 corners

76%1.31—

Over 12.5 corners

17%5.89—

Under 12.5 corners

83%1.20—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

86%1.16—

Under 1.5 cards

14%7.18—

Over 2.5 cards

69%1.46—

Under 2.5 cards

31%3.20—

Over 3.5 cards

48%2.08—

Under 3.5 cards

52%1.92—

Over 4.5 cards

30%3.39—

Under 4.5 cards

70%1.42—

Over 5.5 cards

16%6.14—

Under 5.5 cards

84%1.19—

Over 6.5 cards

8%11.89—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.09—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Internazionale

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 12-5

WWLWW

WHShakhtar Donetsk1-0

WABologna3-1

LHClub Brugge3-4

WHParma3-0

WHLumezzane2-0

Fiorentina

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 15-6

WDWLL

LHComo1-3

LAGenoa1-2

WHSS Signa9-0

DHNapoli1-1

WHPisa3-0

Head-to-head

2026-03-22

Fiorentina1 - 1Internazionale

2025-10-29

Internazionale3 - 0Fiorentina

2025-02-10

Internazionale2 - 1Fiorentina

2025-02-06

Fiorentina3 - 0Internazionale

2024-01-28

Fiorentina0 - 1Internazionale

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Team comparison

Internazionale

VS

Fiorentina

#12 ▼2Power Index 78.6

Power Ranking

#81Power Index 55.6

€738m1st in the league

Squad value

€353m8th in the league

Cristian Chivusince 9 Jun 2025 · 67 games · 2.10 pts/game

Head coach

Paolo Vanoli NEWsince 7 Sep 2026 · 5 games · 1.40 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

73%Market 72%

Draw (X)

16%Market 16%

Away win (2)

11%Market 12%

Over 2.5 goals

71%Market: —

Both teams to score

59%Market: —

Expected goals

2.7 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Internazionale 2 - 1 Fiorentina (9.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 19.1%
2. 2 - 09.1%
3. 3 - 18.1%
4. 3 - 08.1%
5. 1 - 16.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Fiorentina

Goals scored by Internazionale

01234502.52.51.30.40.10.016.86.83.41.10.30.129.19.14.51.50.40.138.18.14.01.30.30.145.45.42.70.90.20.052.92.91.40.50.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Internazionale

Last 5, most recent first

WWLWD

Goals per game, for / against2.4 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)5-0-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

Fiorentina

Last 5, most recent first

LLDWL

Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 2.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-3

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-2

Form and team news

Internazionale

3 W1 D1 L2.4 for1.4 against

Internazionale have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Fiorentina

1 W1 D3 L1.6 for2.0 against

Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Internazionale

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeFiorentina

28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayVenezia

31/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayAC Milan

Next matches of Fiorentina

25/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayInternazionale

29/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAtalanta

2/11/2026 · ITA.1AwaySassuolo

Our model gives Internazionale win 73%, draw 16%, Fiorentina win 11%. over 2.5 goals 71%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 2.67 - 1.00. largest gap to the market: Internazionale win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.