AS Monaco vs Lille prediction, tips and odds

Next match: AS Monaco vs Lille, 2026-10-25, French Ligue 1, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

AS Monaco

VS14:00 GMT

Lille

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.73

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

55%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 10.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

69%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK69%

Under 10.5 corners

Expected corners: AS Monaco 5.0, Lille 4.0, total 9.0 (line 10.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: AS Monaco x1.02, Lille x1.01 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.45

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

AS Monaco 1 - 1 Lille

PROBABILITY

11.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.0Exp. cards 3.8

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AS Monaco

47%2.152.10

Draw

26%3.883.35

Lille

28%3.613.65

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AS Monaco or draw

72%1.38—

Lille or draw

53%1.87—

Either team wins (no draw)

74%1.35—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.321.20

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.164.15

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.951.75

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.052.07

Over 3.5 goals

29%3.432.80

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.411.38

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

55%1.83—

Not both score (NG)

45%2.20—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

64%1.57—

Under 7.5 corners

36%2.75—

Over 8.5 corners

52%1.911.50

Under 8.5 corners

48%2.102.35

Over 9.5 corners

41%2.421.90

Under 9.5 corners

59%1.701.80

Over 10.5 corners

31%3.182.45

Under 10.5 corners

69%1.461.45

Over 11.5 corners

23%4.34—

Under 11.5 corners

77%1.30—

Over 12.5 corners

16%6.12—

Under 12.5 corners

84%1.20—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

88%1.14—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.34—

Over 2.5 cards

72%1.381.30

Under 2.5 cards

28%3.613.05

Over 3.5 cards

52%1.911.75

Under 3.5 cards

48%2.101.95

Over 4.5 cards

34%2.98—

Under 4.5 cards

66%1.50—

Over 5.5 cards

19%5.19—

Under 5.5 cards

81%1.24—

Over 6.5 cards

10%9.77—

Under 6.5 cards

90%1.11—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER37%

add_circleAS Monaco

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.43

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

AS Monaco

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-5

WWDWL

LALorient0-1

WACSKA Sofia2-1

DHToulouse2-2

WHPisa2-0

WHLens2-1

Lille

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-9

WWLDL

LHGalatasaray2-4

DHBrest1-1

LAArsenal0-3

WHLe Havre AC1-0

WHZulte-Waregem2-1

Head-to-head

2026-05-10

AS Monaco0 - 1Lille

2025-08-24

Lille1 - 0AS Monaco

2025-02-22

Lille2 - 1AS Monaco

2024-10-18

AS Monaco0 - 0Lille

2024-04-24

AS Monaco1 - 0Lille

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Team comparison

AS Monaco

VS

Lille

#42 ▼3Power Index 65.7

Power Ranking

#47 ▼3Power Index 64.6

€378m2nd in the league

Squad value

€253m6th in the league

Filipe Luíssince 6 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 2.30 pts/game

Head coach

Davide Ancelottisince 8 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.56 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

47%Market 46%

Draw (X)

26%Market 28%

Away win (2)

28%Market 26%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 53%

Both teams to score

55%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: AS Monaco 1 - 1 Lille (11.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.9%
2. 1 - 010.3%
3. 2 - 19.3%
4. 2 - 08.1%
5. 0 - 17.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Lille

Goals scored by AS Monaco

01234506.57.64.41.70.50.1110.311.96.92.60.80.228.19.35.42.10.60.134.24.92.81.10.30.141.71.91.10.40.10.050.50.60.30.10.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

AS Monaco

Last 5, most recent first

WLWDW

Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 1.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-1

Lille

Last 5, most recent first

LDLWL

Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 2.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-2-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-2

Form and team news

AS Monaco

3 W1 D1 L1.8 for1.0 against

AS Monaco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Lille

1 W1 D3 L1.0 for2.0 against

Lille have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of AS Monaco

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLille

1/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayParis FC

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFHomeFC Nordsjælland

Next matches of Lille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayAS Monaco

30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLens

3/11/2026 · UEFA.CHAMPIONSAwayBodo/Glimt

Our model gives AS Monaco win 47%, draw 26%, Lille win 28%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 55%. expected goals 1.57 - 1.16. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.