AC Milan vs Udinese prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Udinese vs AC Milan, 2026-10-25, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•19:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Udinese

VS19:45 GMT

AC Milan

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.71

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Udinese 0 - 1 AC Milan

PROBABILITY

11.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.6Exp. cards 3.5

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Udinese

19%5.224.70

Draw

24%4.193.75

AC Milan

57%1.751.67

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Udinese or draw

43%2.33—

AC Milan or draw

81%1.24—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.321.25

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.103.60

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.971.87

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.031.93

Over 3.5 goals

29%3.482.90

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.401.35

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.97—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.03—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

59%1.691.35

Under 7.5 corners

41%2.462.85

Over 8.5 corners

48%2.101.70

Under 8.5 corners

52%1.912.02

Over 9.5 corners

37%2.712.20

Under 9.5 corners

63%1.581.60

Over 10.5 corners

27%3.652.95

Under 10.5 corners

73%1.381.33

Over 11.5 corners

20%5.09—

Under 11.5 corners

80%1.24—

Over 12.5 corners

14%7.36—

Under 12.5 corners

86%1.16—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

85%1.18—

Under 1.5 cards

15%6.64—

Over 2.5 cards

67%1.501.35

Under 2.5 cards

33%3.002.85

Over 3.5 cards

46%2.191.85

Under 3.5 cards

54%1.841.85

Over 4.5 cards

27%3.64—

Under 4.5 cards

73%1.38—

Over 5.5 cards

15%6.74—

Under 5.5 cards

85%1.17—

Over 6.5 cards

8%13.23—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER45%

add_circleAC Milan

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.97

BUILDER38%

add_circleAC Milan

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.25

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Udinese

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 5-12

LLDLL

LHLecce0-3

LATorino1-2

DAPogon Szczecin1-1

LHCagliari0-1

LAInternazionale3-5

AC Milan

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 11-5

LWDWW

WHAtalanta3-2

WARB Salzburg4-0

DASassuolo1-1

WHLecce3-0

LHBenfica0-2

Head-to-head

2026-04-11

AC Milan0 - 3Udinese

2025-09-20

Udinese0 - 3AC Milan

2025-04-11

Udinese0 - 4AC Milan

2024-10-19

AC Milan1 - 0Udinese

2024-01-20

Udinese2 - 3AC Milan

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Team comparison

Udinese

VS

AC Milan

#129 ▼8Power Index 48.3

Power Ranking

#37 ▲5Power Index 67.2

€162m14th in the league

Squad value

€503m4th in the league

Kosta Runjaićsince 1 Jul 2024 · 91 games · 1.27 pts/game

Head coach

Ruben Amorimsince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 2.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

19%Market 19%

Draw (X)

24%Market 24%

Away win (2)

57%Market 57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 51%

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

0.9 - 1.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Udinese 0 - 1 AC Milan (11.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 111.9%
2. 1 - 111.0%
3. 0 - 210.5%
4. 1 - 29.8%
5. 0 - 06.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AC Milan

Goals scored by Udinese

01234506.711.910.56.22.81.016.211.09.85.82.60.922.95.14.62.71.20.430.91.61.40.80.40.140.20.40.30.20.10.050.00.10.10.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Udinese

Last 5, most recent first

LLLLL

Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 2.6

Home, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-3

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-2

AC Milan

Last 5, most recent first

WWDWL

Goals per game, for / against2.2 / 1.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-3-0

Form and team news

Udinese

0 W0 D5 L1.0 for2.6 against

Udinese have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.6 per game.

AC Milan

3 W1 D1 L2.2 for1.0 against

AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Udinese

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAC Milan

28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayParma

31/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAS Roma

Next matches of AC Milan

25/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayUdinese

28/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeBologna

31/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeInternazionale

Our model gives Udinese win 19%, draw 24%, AC Milan win 57%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 0.93 - 1.78. largest gap to the market: Udinese win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.