Monza vs Torino prediction, tips and odds
Next match: Torino vs Monza, 2026-10-23, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Torino 1 - 1 Monza
12.0%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Torino
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-5
Parma3-0
Udinese2-1
Bologna1-1
AS Roma0-2
Fiorentina2-1
Monza
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 11-9
Cagliari4-0
Lazio1-3
Brest2-2
Cremonese2-3
Sassuolo2-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Torino 1 - 1 Monza (12.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 112.0%
- 1 - 010.4%
- 2 - 19.3%
- 2 - 08.0%
- 0 - 17.8%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by MonzaLineups
The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.
Form
TorinoMonzaForm and team news
Torino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 per game.
Monza have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.
Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.
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Our model gives Torino win 46%, draw 26%, Monza win 28%. over 2.5 goals 50%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 1.54 - 1.15. largest gap to the market: Monza win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.