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Kalamata vs PAOK prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: Kalamata vs PAOK, 2/12/2026, gre.cup. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

MATCH ANALYSIS/GREEK SUPER LEAGUE/2026-10-12
stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•15:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
PAOKHOME
VS15:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.14

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

43%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

0%21%43%64%85%09:4911:46
1 PAOKX2 Kalamata
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
PAOK (1)78.2%78.5%1.27trending_flat+0.3 pp
Draw (X)13.3%13.6%7.36trending_flat+0.3 pp
Kalamata (2)8.5%7.9%12.63trending_down-0.5 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

PAOK 2 - 0 Kalamata

PROBABILITY

13.6%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.6Exp. cards 4.9
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
PAOK
78%1.281.21
Draw
15%6.767.00
Kalamata
7%14.2112.00
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
PAOK or draw
93%1.08—
Kalamata or draw
22%4.58—
Either team wins (no draw)
85%1.17—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
82%1.211.14
Under 1.5 goals
18%5.664.70
Over 2.5 goals
61%1.641.50
Under 2.5 goals
39%2.552.40
Over 3.5 goals
38%2.602.30
Under 3.5 goals
62%1.631.58
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
43%2.32—
Not both score (NG)
57%1.76—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER44%
add_circlePAOK
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.91
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

PAOK

PAOK

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 10-8

LWLWW
WAPanetolikos3-1
WHAris2-0
LAPanathinaikos1-3
WAAtromitos2-1
LASK Brann2-3
Kalamata

Kalamata

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 6-8

LLDWL
LHPanathinaikos0-1
WHVolos NFC3-1
DAAtromitos1-1
LAPanetolikos0-2
LHAris2-3

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

#91 ▼4Power Index 53.9
Power Ranking
#226 ▼3Power Index 33.8
€114m3rd in the league
Squad value
€12m12th in the league
Alessio Liscisince 1 Jul 2026 · 15 games · 1.73 pts/game
Head coach
Panagiotis Christofileassince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.50 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
78%Market 81% -3
Draw (X)
15%Market 12% +3
Away win (2)
7%Market 7%
Over 2.5 goals
61%Market 63%
Both teams to score
43%Market: —
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.6

Most likely final scores

Most likely: PAOK 2 - 0 Kalamata (13.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 013.6%
  2. 3 - 011.4%
  3. 1 - 010.8%
  4. 2 - 18.6%
  5. 3 - 17.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Kalamata
Goals scored by PAOK
01234504.32.70.90.20.00.0110.86.82.20.50.10.0213.68.62.70.60.10.0311.47.22.30.50.10.047.24.51.40.30.00.053.62.30.70.20.00.0

Next matches of PAOK

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayOFI Crete
28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeAEK Athens
1/11/2026 · GRE.1HomeAsteras Tripoli

Next matches of Kalamata

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayOlympiacos
28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayNestos Chrysoupolis
2/11/2026 · GRE.1HomeIraklis

More matches on this day

Our model gives PAOK win 78%, draw 15%, Kalamata win 7%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 43%. expected goals 2.51 - 0.63. largest gap to the market: PAOK win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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