Atalanta vs Venezia prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Atalanta vs Venezia, 2026-10-12, Italian Serie A, kickoff 19:30 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.15
MODEL OVER 2.5
61%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Over 7.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta (1) | 60% | 60.5% | 1.65 | trending_up+0.4 pp |
| Draw (X) | 23.1% | 22% | 4.55 | trending_down-1.2 pp |
| Venezia (2) | 16.8% | 17.6% | 5.69 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 7.5 corners
Expected corners: Atalanta 6.2, Venezia 3.2, total 9.4 (line 7.5).
Corners-for rate vs average: Atalanta x0.99, Venezia x0.81 (sample 25 and 24 equivalent matches).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Atalanta 2 - 1 Venezia
9.9%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Atalanta
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 4-6
Juventus0-2
Cagliari1-2
AS Roma1-2
Bologna1-0
Venezia
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · goals 5-13
Lazio0-2
Fiorentina2-4
Frosinone2-3
Udinese1-2
AC Milan0-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Atalanta 2 - 1 Venezia (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 19.9%
- 1 - 19.5%
- 2 - 09.3%
- 1 - 08.9%
- 3 - 16.9%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by VeneziaNext matches of Atalanta
FrosinoneFiorentina
ParmaNext matches of Venezia
Genoa
Internazionale
ComoMore matches on this day
PAOK
Torino
Coventry City
Levante
FC Famalicao
Our model gives Atalanta win 61%, draw 21%, Venezia win 18%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 2.09 - 1.06. largest gap to the market: Venezia win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.