Coventry City vs Newcastle United prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Coventry City vs Newcastle United, 2026-10-12, English Premier League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.94
MODEL OVER 2.5
56%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
Under 3.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City (1) | 30.2% | 28.5% | 3.51 | trending_down-1.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26.5% | 26.1% | 3.83 | trending_flat-0.3 pp |
| Newcastle United (2) | 43.3% | 45.4% | 2.20 | trending_up+2.1 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 3.5 goals
Our probability: 66%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Coventry City 1 - 1 Newcastle United
11.3%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Coventry City
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 2-10
Nottingham Forest1-0
Aston Villa1-3
Brighton & Hove Albion0-5
Manchester City0-1
Hull City0-1
Newcastle United
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-7
Hull City2-1
Leeds United1-4
Millwall1-0
AFC Bournemouth2-2
Tottenham Hotspur2-0Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Coventry City 1 - 1 Newcastle United (11.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.3%
- 1 - 29.1%
- 0 - 18.6%
- 2 - 17.5%
- 1 - 07.0%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Newcastle UnitedNext matches of Coventry City
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Our model gives Coventry City win 31%, draw 25%, Newcastle United win 44%. over 2.5 goals 56%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.32 - 1.61. largest gap to the market: Coventry City win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.