Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento (Junín) prediction, tips and odds
Next match: Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento (Junín), 2026-10-24, Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, kickoff 00:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.51
MODEL OVER 2.5
46%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
46%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Gimnasia La Plata 1 - 0 Sarmiento (Junín)
13.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Gimnasia La Plata
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · goals 7-6
Huracán2-1
Atlético Tucumán1-1
Independiente Rivadavia1-1
Banfield2-2
Argentinos Juniors1-1
Sarmiento (Junín)
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · goals 7-7
Barracas Central1-1
River Plate1-1
Aldosivi3-1
Racing Club1-3
Belgrano (Córdoba)1-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Gimnasia La Plata 1 - 0 Sarmiento (Junín) (13.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 013.8%
- 2 - 011.6%
- 1 - 111.3%
- 2 - 19.5%
- 0 - 08.2%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Sarmiento (Junín)Lineups
Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.
Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.
- Gimnasia La Plata 4-3-3: Harlen Castillo, Alexis Steimbach, Germán Conti, Enzo Martínez, Pedro Silva Torrejón, Mateo Seoane, Ignacio Miramón, Nacho Fernández, Lucas Janson, Agustín Auzmendi, Marcelo Torres
- Sarmiento (Junín) 4-4-2: Thyago Ayala, Lucas Suárez, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Renzo Orihuela, Santiago Salle, Julián Contrera, Mauricio Martínez, Cristian Zabala, Julián Mavilla, Jonathan Herrera, Junior Marabel
Gimnasia La Plata4-3-3| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| 33 | 13 | 2 | 37 | – | – | ||
| 24 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 28 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 29 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 23 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | – | ||
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Sarmiento (Junín)4-4-2| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| 25 | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 22 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 23 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 28 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 35 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 28 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | – | ||
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Season stats, all competitions. Value: Transfermarkt. Click a player for the full card.
Form
Gimnasia La PlataSarmiento (Junín)Form and team news
Gimnasia La Plata have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
Sarmiento (Junín) have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.
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Our model gives Gimnasia La Plata win 58%, draw 25%, Sarmiento (Junín) win 18%. over 2.5 goals 46%. both teams to score 46%. expected goals 1.69 - 0.82. largest gap to the market: Gimnasia La Plata win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.