Lens vs Paris FC prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Lens vs Paris FC, 2026-10-24, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Lens

VS18:45 GMT

Paris FC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.98

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

1X (Lens or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

1X (Lens or draw)

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.41

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Lens 1 - 1 Paris FC

PROBABILITY

11.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.9Exp. cards 3.7

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lens

42%2.362.35

Draw

25%4.023.70

Paris FC

33%3.062.85

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lens or draw

67%1.49—

Paris FC or draw

58%1.74—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.251.17

Under 1.5 goals

20%5.054.20

Over 2.5 goals

57%1.741.67

Under 2.5 goals

43%2.342.20

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.862.50

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.541.50

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

60%1.66—

Not both score (NG)

40%2.51—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

72%1.39—

Under 7.5 corners

28%3.56—

Over 8.5 corners

61%1.631.45

Under 8.5 corners

39%2.592.45

Over 9.5 corners

51%1.981.80

Under 9.5 corners

49%2.021.90

Over 10.5 corners

40%2.492.30

Under 10.5 corners

60%1.671.52

Over 11.5 corners

31%3.253.05

Under 11.5 corners

69%1.451.30

Over 12.5 corners

23%4.38—

Under 12.5 corners

77%1.30—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

87%1.15—

Under 1.5 cards

13%7.73—

Over 2.5 cards

70%1.42—

Under 2.5 cards

30%3.39—

Over 3.5 cards

50%1.991.65

Under 3.5 cards

50%2.012.10

Over 4.5 cards

31%3.182.45

Under 4.5 cards

69%1.461.45

Over 5.5 cards

18%5.64—

Under 5.5 cards

82%1.22—

Over 6.5 cards

9%10.79—

Under 6.5 cards

91%1.10—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Lens

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 7-7

WWLWL

LAClub Brugge0-3

WATroyes3-1

LHSporting CP0-2

WHLyon2-1

WAStandard Liege2-0

Paris FC

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-7

DWLLW

WHStade Rennais4-3

LALorient0-1

LHRed Star FC 931-2

WHStrasbourg2-1

DHLyon0-0

Head-to-head

2026-02-14

Paris FC0 - 5Lens

2025-10-19

Lens2 - 1Paris FC

2020-03-02

Paris FC0 - 2Lens

2019-09-28

Lens2 - 1Paris FC

2019-05-21

Paris FC1 - 1Lens

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Team comparison

Lens

VS

Paris FC

#35 ▼5Power Index 68.1

Power Ranking

#93 ▼3Power Index 53.6

€243m7th in the league

Squad value

€192m8th in the league

Yannick Cahuzac NEWsince 15 Sep 2026 · 4 games · 1.50 pts/game

Head coach

Liam Roseniorsince 7 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 2.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

42%Market 41%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

33%Market 34%

Over 2.5 goals

57%Market 58%

Both teams to score

60%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Lens 1 - 1 Paris FC (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.2%
2. 2 - 19.0%
3. 1 - 08.1%
4. 1 - 27.7%
5. 0 - 17.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Paris FC

Goals scored by Lens

01234505.17.04.82.20.80.218.111.27.73.61.20.326.59.06.22.91.00.333.54.83.31.50.50.141.41.91.30.60.20.150.40.60.40.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Lens

Last 5, most recent first

LWLWL

Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 1.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-3

Paris FC

Last 5, most recent first

WLWDW

Goals per game, for / against1.8 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-1-0

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-1

Form and team news

Lens

2 W0 D3 L1.2 for1.8 against

Lens have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game.

Paris FC

3 W1 D1 L1.8 for1.4 against

Paris FC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Lens

24/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis FC

30/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLille

4/11/2026 · UEFA.CHAMPIONSHomeComo

Next matches of Paris FC

24/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLens

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeAS Monaco

7/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayAJ Auxerre

Our model gives Lens win 42%, draw 25%, Paris FC win 33%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.60 - 1.38. largest gap to the market: Lens win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.