Dundee vs St Mirren prediction, tips and odds

Next match: St Mirren vs Dundee, 2026-10-24, Scottish Premiership, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumSCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

St Mirren

VS14:00 GMT

Dundee

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.90

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

55%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.42

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

St Mirren 1 - 1 Dundee

PROBABILITY

11.5%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.4Exp. cards 3.2

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

St Mirren

42%2.412.20

Draw

25%3.953.60

Dundee

33%3.022.90

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

St Mirren or draw

67%1.50—

Dundee or draw

58%1.71—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.34—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

79%1.27—

Under 1.5 goals

21%4.74—

Over 2.5 goals

55%1.801.62

Under 2.5 goals

45%2.242.15

Over 3.5 goals

33%3.02—

Under 3.5 goals

67%1.49—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

59%1.70—

Not both score (NG)

41%2.43—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

76%1.31—

Under 7.5 corners

24%4.18—

Over 8.5 corners

66%1.51—

Under 8.5 corners

34%2.97—

Over 9.5 corners

56%1.79—

Under 9.5 corners

44%2.26—

Over 10.5 corners

45%2.20—

Under 10.5 corners

55%1.83—

Over 11.5 corners

36%2.81—

Under 11.5 corners

64%1.55—

Over 12.5 corners

27%3.69—

Under 12.5 corners

73%1.37—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

82%1.21—

Under 1.5 cards

18%5.65—

Over 2.5 cards

62%1.60—

Under 2.5 cards

38%2.65—

Over 3.5 cards

41%2.45—

Under 3.5 cards

59%1.69—

Over 4.5 cards

23%4.28—

Under 4.5 cards

77%1.30—

Over 5.5 cards

12%8.27—

Under 5.5 cards

88%1.14—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

St Mirren

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · goals 2-14

LLLLL

LAAberdeen1-3

LAHeart of Midlothian0-5

LHDundee United0-3

LARangers0-1

LHCeltic1-2

Dundee

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 8-7

DLWWD

DHRangers2-2

WAFalkirk2-1

WHMotherwell2-1

LAHeart of Midlothian1-2

DHSt Johnstone1-1

Head-to-head

2026-05-02

Dundee1 - 0St Mirren

2026-01-31

St Mirren0 - 0Dundee

2025-11-29

Dundee3 - 1St Mirren

2025-09-27

St Mirren1 - 0Dundee

2025-04-05

Dundee2 - 0St Mirren

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Team comparison

St Mirren

VS

Dundee

#221 ▼2Power Index 34.3

Power Ranking

#207 ▼2Power Index 37.1

€8.8m8th in the league

Squad value

€7.6m9th in the league

Craig McLeishsince 12 Mar 2026 · 17 games · 1.00 pts/game

Head coach

Steven Pressleysince 2 Jun 2025 · 58 games · 1.29 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

42%Market 43%

Draw (X)

25%Market 25%

Away win (2)

33%Market 32%

Over 2.5 goals

55%Market 58% -3

Both teams to score

59%Market: —

Expected goals

1.5 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: St Mirren 1 - 1 Dundee (11.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.5%
2. 2 - 18.9%
3. 1 - 08.5%
4. 1 - 27.8%
5. 0 - 17.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Dundee

Goals scored by St Mirren

01234505.57.55.12.30.80.218.511.57.83.51.20.326.68.96.02.70.90.333.44.63.11.40.50.141.31.81.20.50.20.150.40.50.40.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

St Mirren

Last 5, most recent first

LLLLL

Goals per game, for / against0.4 / 2.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-3

Dundee

Last 5, most recent first

DWWLD

Goals per game, for / against1.6 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-2-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-0-2

Form and team news

St Mirren

0 W0 D5 L0.4 for2.8 against

St Mirren have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.8 per game.

Dundee

2 W2 D1 L1.6 for1.4 against

Dundee have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of St Mirren

24/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeDundee

28/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeHibernian

31/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayMotherwell

Next matches of Dundee

24/10/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Mirren

28/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeKilmarnock

7/11/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Johnstone

Our model gives St Mirren win 42%, draw 25%, Dundee win 33%. over 2.5 goals 55%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.55 - 1.36. largest gap to the market: St Mirren win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.