ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction, tips and odds

Next match: ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen, 2026-10-24, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

ADO Den Haag

VS19:00 GMT

Heerenveen

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.34

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

65%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

65%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

ADO Den Haag 1 - 1 Heerenveen

PROBABILITY

9.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.0Exp. cards 3.0

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

ADO Den Haag

28%3.523.20

Draw

23%4.393.85

Heerenveen

49%2.052.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

ADO Den Haag or draw

51%1.95—

Heerenveen or draw

72%1.40—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.29—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

85%1.181.15

Under 1.5 goals

15%6.634.50

Over 2.5 goals

65%1.541.45

Under 2.5 goals

35%2.852.50

Over 3.5 goals

43%2.332.12

Under 3.5 goals

57%1.751.68

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

65%1.54—

Not both score (NG)

35%2.86—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

73%1.38—

Under 7.5 corners

27%3.65—

Over 8.5 corners

62%1.61—

Under 8.5 corners

38%2.65—

Over 9.5 corners

51%1.94—

Under 9.5 corners

49%2.06—

Over 10.5 corners

41%2.44—

Under 10.5 corners

59%1.70—

Over 11.5 corners

32%3.16—

Under 11.5 corners

68%1.46—

Over 12.5 corners

24%4.25—

Under 12.5 corners

76%1.31—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

79%1.27—

Under 1.5 cards

21%4.66—

Over 2.5 cards

56%1.77—

Under 2.5 cards

44%2.30—

Over 3.5 cards

35%2.88—

Under 3.5 cards

65%1.53—

Over 4.5 cards

19%5.35—

Under 4.5 cards

81%1.23—

Over 5.5 cards

9%10.86—

Under 5.5 cards

91%1.10—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%

add_circleHeerenveen

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.25

BUILDER36%

add_circleHeerenveen

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.56

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

ADO Den Haag

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 7-9

LLDDW

WHPSV Eindhoven2-1

DATelstar2-2

DHSC Cambuur1-1

LAFC Twente0-2

LHFortuna Sittard2-3

Heerenveen

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 10-5

LDWLW

WHExcelsior4-0

LAPSV Eindhoven0-2

WASparta Rotterdam4-0

DHTelstar0-0

LHAZ Alkmaar2-3

Head-to-head

2021-03-06

Heerenveen3 - 0ADO Den Haag

2020-11-28

ADO Den Haag1 - 1Heerenveen

2020-02-22

Heerenveen2 - 2ADO Den Haag

2019-11-03

ADO Den Haag1 - 1Heerenveen

2019-03-09

ADO Den Haag2 - 3Heerenveen

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Team comparison

ADO Den Haag

VS

Heerenveen

#224 ▲3Power Index 33.9

Power Ranking

#158 ▲9Power Index 44.2

€21m15th in the league

Squad value

€57m7th in the league

Robin Petersince 14 Jul 2025 · 48 games · 1.98 pts/game

Head coach

Robin Veldmansince 21 Mar 2025 · 57 games · 1.47 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

28%Market 29%

Draw (X)

23%Market 24%

Away win (2)

49%Market 48%

Over 2.5 goals

65%Market 65%

Both teams to score

65%Market: —

Expected goals

1.4 - 1.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: ADO Den Haag 1 - 1 Heerenveen (9.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 19.7%
2. 1 - 29.3%
3. 2 - 16.9%
4. 0 - 16.8%
5. 2 - 26.6%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Heerenveen

Goals scored by ADO Den Haag

01234503.56.86.54.12.00.815.19.79.35.92.81.123.66.96.64.22.00.831.73.33.12.01.00.440.61.21.10.70.30.150.20.30.30.20.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

ADO Den Haag

Last 5, most recent first

WDDLL

Goals per game, for / against1.4 / 1.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-2-3

Heerenveen

Last 5, most recent first

WLWDL

Goals per game, for / against2.0 / 1.0

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-2-1

Form and team news

ADO Den Haag

1 W2 D2 L1.4 for1.8 against

ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.

Heerenveen

2 W1 D2 L2.0 for1.0 against

Heerenveen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of ADO Den Haag

24/10/2026 · NED.1HomeHeerenveen

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayPEC Zwolle

7/11/2026 · NED.1HomeSparta Rotterdam

Next matches of Heerenveen

24/10/2026 · NED.1AwayADO Den Haag

31/10/2026 · NED.1HomeNEC Nijmegen

8/11/2026 · NED.1HomeFeyenoord Rotterdam

Our model gives ADO Den Haag win 28%, draw 23%, Heerenveen win 49%. over 2.5 goals 65%. both teams to score 65%. expected goals 1.43 - 1.91. largest gap to the market: Heerenveen win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.