FC Porto vs Gil Vicente prediction, tips and odds

Next match: Gil Vicente vs FC Porto, 2026-10-24, Portuguese Primeira Liga, kickoff 22:30 Athens time

stadiumPORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA•19:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Gil Vicente

VS19:30 GMT

FC Porto

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.65

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

49%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

44%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Gil Vicente 0 - 1 FC Porto

PROBABILITY

13.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.1Exp. cards 4.4

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Gil Vicente

13%7.796.50

Draw

21%4.664.40

FC Porto

66%1.521.46

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Gil Vicente or draw

34%2.91—

FC Porto or draw

87%1.15—

Either team wins (no draw)

79%1.27—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

74%1.341.25

Under 1.5 goals

26%3.913.45

Over 2.5 goals

49%2.031.85

Under 2.5 goals

51%1.971.90

Over 3.5 goals

27%3.652.95

Under 3.5 goals

73%1.381.35

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

44%2.27—

Not both score (NG)

56%1.79—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

64%1.56—

Under 7.5 corners

36%2.77—

Over 8.5 corners

53%1.90—

Under 8.5 corners

47%2.11—

Over 9.5 corners

42%2.40—

Under 9.5 corners

58%1.71—

Over 10.5 corners

32%3.15—

Under 10.5 corners

68%1.46—

Over 11.5 corners

23%4.29—

Under 11.5 corners

77%1.30—

Over 12.5 corners

17%6.05—

Under 12.5 corners

83%1.20—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

92%1.09—

Under 1.5 cards

8%12.51—

Over 2.5 cards

80%1.24—

Under 2.5 cards

20%5.10—

Over 3.5 cards

63%1.58—

Under 3.5 cards

37%2.74—

Over 4.5 cards

45%2.23—

Under 4.5 cards

55%1.81—

Over 5.5 cards

28%3.51—

Under 5.5 cards

72%1.40—

Over 6.5 cards

17%6.05—

Under 6.5 cards

83%1.20—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER44%

add_circleFC Porto

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.96

BUILDER39%

add_circleFC Porto

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.23

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Gil Vicente

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-7

LDWWW

WABraga2-1

WAUnião Santarém3-2

WAMoreirense1-0

DHMaritimo1-1

LABenfica1-3

FC Porto

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 11-7

WWWLL

LHPSV Eindhoven0-1

LAReal Betis2-3

WAMaritimo2-1

WHBenfica3-1

WACasa Pia4-1

Head-to-head

2026-01-26

FC Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente

2025-08-18

Gil Vicente0 - 2FC Porto

2025-01-19

Gil Vicente3 - 1FC Porto

2024-08-10

FC Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente

2024-02-25

Gil Vicente1 - 1FC Porto

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Team comparison

Gil Vicente

VS

FC Porto

#120 ▲5Power Index 49.4

Power Ranking

#20 ▼1Power Index 74.4

€27m14th in the league

Squad value

€472m1st in the league

Luís Pintosince 1 Jul 2026 · 8 games · 1.75 pts/game

Head coach

Francesco Fariolisince 6 Jul 2025 · 64 games · 2.38 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

13%Market 13%

Draw (X)

21%Market 20%

Away win (2)

66%Market 67%

Over 2.5 goals

49%Market 51%

Both teams to score

44%Market: —

Expected goals

0.7 - 1.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Gil Vicente 0 - 1 FC Porto (13.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 113.7%
2. 0 - 213.2%
3. 1 - 19.8%
4. 1 - 29.5%
5. 0 - 38.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Porto

Goals scored by Gil Vicente

01234507.113.713.28.54.11.615.19.89.56.12.91.121.83.53.42.21.10.430.40.80.80.50.30.140.10.20.10.10.00.050.00.00.00.00.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

Gil Vicente

Last 5, most recent first

WWDLL

Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 1.2

Home, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-1

FC Porto

Last 5, most recent first

LLWWW

Goals per game, for / against2.2 / 1.4

Home, W-D-L (last 10)3-0-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)4-0-1

Form and team news

Gil Vicente

2 W1 D2 L1.0 for1.2 against

Gil Vicente have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.

FC Porto

3 W0 D2 L2.2 for1.4 against

FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of Gil Vicente

24/10/2026 · POR.1HomeFC Porto

2/11/2026 · POR.1HomeVitória de Guimaraes

8/11/2026 · POR.1AwaySanta Clara

Next matches of FC Porto

24/10/2026 · POR.1AwayGil Vicente

31/10/2026 · POR.1HomeEstoril

4/11/2026 · UEFA.CHAMPIONSHomeNapoli

Our model gives Gil Vicente win 13%, draw 21%, FC Porto win 66%. over 2.5 goals 49%. both teams to score 44%. expected goals 0.72 - 1.93. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.