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CF Montréal vs Nashville SC prediction, tips and odds

Next match: CF Montréal vs Nashville SC, 2026-10-24, MLS, kickoff 20:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/MLS/2026-10-24
stadiumMLS•17:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS17:30 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.09

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MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

CF Montréal 1 - 2 Nashville SC

PROBABILITY

9.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
CF Montréal
18%5.464.60
Draw
21%4.664.20
Nashville SC
60%1.661.61
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
CF Montréal or draw
40%2.51—
Nashville SC or draw
82%1.22—
Either team wins (no draw)
79%1.27—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
82%1.22—
Under 1.5 goals
18%5.46—
Over 2.5 goals
60%1.681.59
Under 2.5 goals
40%2.482.35
Over 3.5 goals
37%2.68—
Under 3.5 goals
63%1.59—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
57%1.76—
Not both score (NG)
43%2.31—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%
add_circleNashville SC
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.20
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

CF Montréal

CF Montréal

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-9

LWLLD
DASeattle Sounders FC1-1
LHAtlanta United FC0-3
LAToronto FC1-2
WHFC Cincinnati3-1
LHColumbus Crew0-2
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 14-2

WWWWD
DASan Jose Earthquakes1-1
WHSporting Kansas City4-0
WAAustin FC4-1
WHToronto FC2-0
WHChicago Fire FC3-0

Head-to-head

2026-07-23
Nashville SC1 - 0CF Montréal
2025-10-04
CF Montréal1 - 1Nashville SC
2025-03-23
Nashville SC3 - 0CF Montréal
2024-05-25
CF Montréal0 - 0Nashville SC
2024-05-05
Nashville SC4 - 1CF Montréal
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Team comparison

#209 ▲1Power Index 36.0
Power Ranking
#55 ▲5Power Index 61.5

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
18%Market 19%
Draw (X)
21%Market 21%
Away win (2)
60%Market 60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%Market 60%
Both teams to score
57%Market: —
Expected goals
1.0 - 2.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: CF Montréal 1 - 2 Nashville SC (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 29.9%
  2. 1 - 19.7%
  3. 0 - 29.5%
  4. 0 - 19.3%
  5. 1 - 36.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Nashville SC
Goals scored by CF Montréal
01234504.69.39.56.53.31.414.79.79.96.83.51.422.55.15.23.51.80.730.91.81.81.20.60.340.20.50.50.30.20.150.00.10.10.10.00.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

CF Montréal
Last 5, most recent first
DLLWL
Goals per game, for / against1.0 / 1.8
Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-3
Away, W-D-L (last 10)0-1-4
Nashville SC
Last 5, most recent first
DWWWW
Goals per game, for / against2.8 / 0.4
Home, W-D-L (last 10)5-0-0
Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-3-1

Form and team news

1 W1 D3 L1.0 for1.8 against

CF Montréal have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game.

4 W1 D0 L2.8 for0.4 against

Nashville SC have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.4 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of CF Montréal

24/10/2026 · USA.1HomeNashville SC
28/10/2026 · USA.1AwayCharlotte FC
31/10/2026 · USA.1AwayNew York City FC

Next matches of Nashville SC

24/10/2026 · USA.1AwayCF Montréal
29/10/2026 · USA.1HomePhiladelphia Union
1/11/2026 · USA.1HomeRed Bull New York

More matches on this day

Our model gives CF Montréal win 18%, draw 21%, Nashville SC win 60%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.04 - 2.05. largest gap to the market: CF Montréal win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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