Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk, 2026-10-21, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
4.15
MODEL OVER 2.5
78%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Over 3.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale (1) | 79.4% | 77.3% | 1.29 | trending_down-2.1 pp |
| Draw (X) | 12.7% | 13.6% | 7.34 | trending_up+0.9 pp |
| Shakhtar Donetsk (2) | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.00 | trending_up+1.1 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 3.5 goals
Our probability: 66%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Internazionale 3 - 0 Shakhtar Donetsk
9.0%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Internazionale
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 13-7
Bologna3-1
Club Brugge3-4
Parma3-0
AS Roma2-2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-7
AEK Athens3-1
PSV Eindhoven1-1
Crystal Palace1-2Crystal Palace1-3Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Internazionale 3 - 0 Shakhtar Donetsk (9.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 3 - 09.0%
- 2 - 08.3%
- 3 - 18.1%
- 2 - 17.5%
- 4 - 07.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Shakhtar DonetskNext matches of Internazionale
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Our model gives Internazionale win 82%, draw 11%, Shakhtar Donetsk win 7%. over 2.5 goals 78%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 3.25 - 0.90. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.