LASK Linz vs Sporting CP prediction, tips and odds
Next match: Sporting CP vs LASK Linz, 2026-10-21, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
4.15
MODEL OVER 2.5
78%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP (1) | 79.4% | 71.5% | 1.40 | trending_down-7.9 pp |
| Draw (X) | 12.7% | 16.6% | 6.03 | trending_up+3.9 pp |
| LASK Linz (2) | 7.9% | 11.9% | 8.40 | trending_up+4.0 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Sporting CP 3 - 0 LASK Linz
9.0%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Sporting CP
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 11-5
Lens2-0
Braga3-1
Arouca2-2
FC Famalicao1-1
Galatasaray3-1
LASK Linz
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 12-12
Austria Lustenau4-0
Liverpool3-6
Rapid Vienna0-2
TSV Hartberg3-3Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Sporting CP 3 - 0 LASK Linz (9.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 3 - 09.0%
- 2 - 08.3%
- 3 - 18.1%
- 2 - 17.5%
- 4 - 07.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by LASK LinzLineups
Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.
Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.
- Sporting CP 4-3-3: Kaique, Ivan Fresneda, Goncalo Inacio, Eduardo Quaresma, Maxi Araujo, Issa Doumbia, Sergi Altimira, Flavio Goncalves, Geny Catamo, Luis Suarez, Nestory Irankunda
- LASK Linz 3-5-2: Lukas Jungwirth, Andres Andrade Cedeno, Alemao, Xavier Mbuyamba, Melayro Bogarde, Kasper Jorgensen, Robert Ljubicic, Sascha Horvath, Yvan Dibango, Christoph Lang, Sasa Kalajdzic
Sporting CP4-3-3€217.0m| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| 23 | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | €20.0m | ||
| 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | – | ||
| 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | €17.0m | ||
| 26 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | €40.0m | ||
| 23 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | €20.0m | ||
| 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | €25.0m | ||
| 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | €15.0m | ||
| 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | €35.0m | ||
| 28 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0.0 | €30.0m | ||
| 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | €15.0m | ||
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
LASK Linz3-5-2| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| Lukas JungwirthGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Andres Andrade CedenoDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| AlemaoDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Xavier MbuyambaDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Melayro BogardeMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Kasper JorgensenMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Robert LjubicicMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sascha HorvathMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Yvan DibangoMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Christoph LangForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sasa KalajdzicForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Season stats, all competitions. Value: Transfermarkt. Click a player for the full card.
Form
Sporting CPForm and team news
Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8 per game.
Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.
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Our model gives Sporting CP win 82%, draw 11%, LASK Linz win 7%. over 2.5 goals 78%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 3.25 - 0.90. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.