Aston Villa vs Viking FK prediction, tips and odds
Next match: Aston Villa vs Viking FK, 2026-10-21, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.97
MODEL OVER 2.5
76%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
Under 4.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (1) | 77.8% | 75.4% | 1.33 | trending_down-2.3 pp |
| Draw (X) | 13.6% | 14.6% | 6.86 | trending_up+1.0 pp |
| Viking FK (2) | 8.6% | 10% | 10.03 | trending_up+1.3 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 4.5 goals
Our probability: 66%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Viking FK
9.2%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Aston Villa
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 15-5
Newcastle United1-0
Fenerbahce6-0
Brentford2-2
Sevilla3-1
Tottenham Hotspur3-2
Viking FK
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 19-6
Fredrikstad3-2
Bayern Munich3-3
SK Brann2-0
Lillestrom3-0
Kristiansund BK8-1Head-to-head
No recent meetings in the feed.
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Aston Villa 3 - 0 Viking FK (9.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 3 - 09.2%
- 2 - 08.9%
- 3 - 18.2%
- 2 - 18.0%
- 4 - 07.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Viking FKLineups
Predicted from the latest reports. It changes when the official lineup is out.
Season stats, all competitions. Hover or tap a player.
- Aston Villa 4-3-3: Zion Suzuki, Tyrone Mings, Victor Lindelof, Pau Torres, Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, Ross Barkley, John McGinn, Ibrahim Mbaye, Nicolas Jackson, Emiliano Buendia
- Viking FK 4-3-3: Ostbo, K. Haugen, Stensness, Falchener, Heggheim, Bjordal, Bell, Askildsen, Tripic, Botheim, Christiansen
Aston Villa4-3-3€210.0m| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| 24 | 13 | 4 | 47 | – | €30.0m | ||
| 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | €3.0m | ||
| 32 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | €5.0m | ||
| 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | €20.0m | ||
| 29 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | €22.0m | ||
| 26 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | €40.0m | ||
| 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | €4.0m | ||
| 32 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | – | ||
| 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0.6 | €30.0m | ||
| 25 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2.0 | €40.0m | ||
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | €16.0m | ||
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Viking FK4-3-3| # | Player | Age | Apps | Goals | Assists | xG | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting XI | |||||||
| OstboGoalkeeper | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| K. HaugenDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| StensnessDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| FalchenerDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| HeggheimDefender | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| BjordalMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| BellMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| AskildsenMidfielder | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| TripicForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| BotheimForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| ChristiansenForward | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Substitutes appear with the official lineup. | |||||||
Season stats, all competitions. Value: Transfermarkt. Click a player for the full card.
Form
Aston VillaForm and team news
Aston Villa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.
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Our model gives Aston Villa win 80%, draw 12%, Viking FK win 7%. over 2.5 goals 76%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 3.08 - 0.89. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.