Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
1 Club BruggeX2 Lens
SELECTION
FIRST
LATEST
FAIR ODDS NOW
DRIFT
Club Brugge (1)
48%
51.2%
1.95
trending_up+3.2 pp
Draw (X)
23.4%
23.3%
4.29
trending_flat-0.1 pp
Lens (2)
28.6%
25.5%
3.92
trending_down-3.1 pp
token
Algorithmic Value
FREE
PRIMARY PICK68%
Over 2.5 goals
Our probability: 68%.
Odds: 1.40
Goals O/U & BTTS65%
Both teams to score (GG)
Our probability: 65%.
Indicative odds: 1.45
scatter_plot
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Club Brugge 1 - 1 Lens
PROBABILITY
9.1%
table_chart
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Exp. corners 10.2Exp. cards 3.7
swords
Match result (1X2)
SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Club Brugge
49%2.042.00
Draw
22%4.504.10
Lens
29%3.463.35
shield
Double chance
SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Club Brugge or draw
71%1.41—
Lens or draw
51%1.96—
Either team wins (no draw)
78%1.29—
sports_soccer
Total goals
SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
87%1.151.12
Under 1.5 goals
13%7.465.00
Over 2.5 goals
68%1.481.40
Under 2.5 goals
32%3.102.70
Over 3.5 goals
46%2.172.00
Under 3.5 goals
54%1.861.80
sync_alt
Both teams to score
SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
67%1.48—
Not both score (NG)
33%3.06—
layers
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
BUILDER43%
add_circleClub Brugge
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.20
BUILDER37%
add_circleClub Brugge
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.50
history
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
analytics
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Home win (1)
49%Market 49%
Draw (X)
22%Market 23%
Away win (2)
29%Market 28%
Over 2.5 goals
68%Market 68%
Both teams to score
67%Market: —
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.5
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Club Brugge 1 - 1 Lens (9.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
1 - 19.1%
2 - 19.1%
1 - 26.8%
2 - 26.8%
1 - 06.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Our model gives Club Brugge win 49%, draw 22%, Lens win 29%. over 2.5 goals 68%. both teams to score 67%. expected goals 1.99 - 1.50. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.
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