North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Switzerland vs North Macedonia, 2026-10-06, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
HOMESwitzerland
North Macedonia
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
4.12
MODEL OVER 2.5
78%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
48%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland (1) | 85.6% | 87.2% | 1.15 | trending_up+1.6 pp |
| Draw (X) | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.40 | trending_down-1.0 pp |
| North Macedonia (2) | 4.6% | 4% | 25.00 | trending_down-0.6 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Switzerland 3 - 0 North Macedonia
11.1%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Switzerland
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 9-4
Slovenia2-1
Scotland3-0North Macedonia3-0
Argentina1-3
Colombia0-0North Macedonia
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 0-11
Scotland0-2Slovenia0-2Switzerland0-3
Türkiye0-4
Bosnia-Herzegovina0-0Head-to-head
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Switzerland 3 - 0 North Macedonia (11.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 3 - 011.1%
- 2 - 09.7%
- 4 - 09.5%
- 3 - 17.5%
- 5 - 06.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by North Macedonia
More matches on this day
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Our model gives Switzerland win 88%, draw 9%, North Macedonia win 4%. over 2.5 goals 78%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 3.44 - 0.67. largest gap to the market: Switzerland win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.