Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands, 2026-10-06, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA NATIONS LEAGUE•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Kazakhstan

VS14:00 GMT

Faroe Islands

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.20

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

38%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

45%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 KazakhstanX2 Faroe Islands

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Kazakhstan (1)	37.8%	38.4%	2.60	trending_up+0.6 pp
Draw (X)	31.4%	32.3%	3.09	trending_up+1.0 pp
Faroe Islands (2)	30.9%	29.3%	3.42	trending_down-1.6 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Kazakhstan 1 - 1 Faroe Islands

PROBABILITY

13.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.8Exp. cards 3.3Elo 1393 vs 1392

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Kazakhstan

39%2.562.42

Draw

30%3.363.00

Faroe Islands

31%3.213.05

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Kazakhstan or draw

69%1.451.34

Faroe Islands or draw

61%1.641.52

Either team wins (no draw)

70%1.421.35

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

65%1.541.48

Under 1.5 goals

35%2.862.62

Over 2.5 goals

38%2.642.52

Under 2.5 goals

62%1.611.52

Over 3.5 goals

18%5.524.50

Under 3.5 goals

82%1.221.18

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

45%2.231.98

Not both score (NG)

55%1.811.72

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

69%1.451.37

Under 7.5 corners

31%3.243.05

Over 8.5 corners

60%1.681.62

Under 8.5 corners

40%2.482.22

Over 9.5 corners

50%2.012.02

Under 9.5 corners

50%1.991.75

Over 10.5 corners

41%2.472.62

Under 10.5 corners

59%1.681.47

Over 11.5 corners

32%3.113.55

Under 11.5 corners

68%1.471.28

Over 12.5 corners

25%3.995.00

Under 12.5 corners

75%1.331.16

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

81%1.24—

Under 1.5 cards

19%5.14—

Over 2.5 cards

62%1.601.29

Under 2.5 cards

38%2.663.30

Over 3.5 cards

42%2.361.70

Under 3.5 cards

58%1.742.03

Over 4.5 cards

26%3.83—

Under 4.5 cards

74%1.35—

Over 5.5 cards

15%6.51—

Under 5.5 cards

85%1.18—

Over 6.5 cards

9%10.54—

Under 6.5 cards

91%1.10—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER48%

add_circleUnder 2.5 goals

add_circleNot both score (NG)

Indicative odds: 1.85

BUILDER47%

add_circleEither team wins (no draw)

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.95

BUILDER46%

add_circleKazakhstan or draw

add_circleUnder 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.92

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Kazakhstan

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 5-9

DLDLL

LHMoldova1-2

LASlovakia1-2

DAFaroe Islands1-1

LAHungary1-3

DAArmenia1-1

Faroe Islands

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 6-4

WWDDD

DHSlovakia1-1

DAMoldova1-1

DHKazakhstan1-1

WASan Marino2-1

WHKazakhstan1-0

Head-to-head

2026-09-26

Faroe Islands1 - 1Kazakhstan

2025-11-18

Faroe Islands1 - 0Kazakhstan

2013-10-11

Faroe Islands1 - 1Kazakhstan

2013-09-06

Kazakhstan2 - 1Faroe Islands

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

39%Market 38%

Draw (X)

30%Market 31%

Away win (2)

31%Market 31%

Over 2.5 goals

38%Market 37%

Both teams to score

45%Market: —

Expected goals

1.2 - 1.0

Elo rating probabilities

Home 47%Draw 27%Away 26%

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Kazakhstan 1 - 1 Faroe Islands (13.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 113.3%
2. 1 - 013.0%
3. 0 - 111.3%
4. 0 - 011.0%
5. 2 - 17.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Faroe Islands

Goals scored by Kazakhstan

012345011.011.35.82.00.50.1113.013.36.82.30.60.127.77.94.01.40.40.133.03.11.60.50.10.040.90.90.50.20.00.050.20.20.10.00.00.0

Our model gives Kazakhstan win 39%, draw 30%, Faroe Islands win 31%. over 2.5 goals 38%. both teams to score 45%. expected goals 1.18 - 1.02. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.