Czechia vs England prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: England vs Czechia, 2026-10-06, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumUEFA NATIONS LEAGUE•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

England

VS18:45 GMT

Czechia

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.21

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

79%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 EnglandX2 Czechia

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
England (1)	84.3%	84.3%	1.19	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Draw (X)	10.3%	10.3%	9.71	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Czechia (2)	5.5%	5.5%	18.35	trending_flat+0.0 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

England 3 - 0 Czechia

PROBABILITY

10.0%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.6Exp. cards 2.9Elo 2144 vs 1658

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

England

86%1.161.09

Draw

9%10.7810.00

Czechia

5%21.1821.00

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

England or draw

95%1.051.01

Czechia or draw

14%7.146.75

Either team wins (no draw)

91%1.101.04

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

92%1.081.09

Under 1.5 goals

8%13.127.50

Over 2.5 goals

79%1.261.30

Under 2.5 goals

21%4.783.55

Over 3.5 goals

61%1.651.85

Under 3.5 goals

39%2.541.95

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

52%1.912.18

Not both score (NG)

48%2.101.64

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

68%1.481.32

Under 7.5 corners

32%3.103.25

Over 8.5 corners

58%1.721.57

Under 8.5 corners

42%2.392.35

Over 9.5 corners

48%2.071.95

Under 9.5 corners

52%1.931.81

Over 10.5 corners

39%2.562.47

Under 10.5 corners

61%1.641.52

Over 11.5 corners

31%3.253.30

Under 11.5 corners

69%1.441.31

Over 12.5 corners

24%4.194.50

Under 12.5 corners

76%1.311.18

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

76%1.32—

Under 1.5 cards

24%4.10—

Over 2.5 cards

55%1.83—

Under 2.5 cards

45%2.21—

Over 3.5 cards

35%2.89—

Under 3.5 cards

65%1.53—

Over 4.5 cards

20%4.99—

Under 4.5 cards

80%1.25—

Over 5.5 cards

12%8.60—

Under 5.5 cards

88%1.13—

Over 6.5 cards

8%13.23—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.08—

layers

Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER49%

add_circleEngland or draw

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 2.21

BUILDER48%

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 2.43

BUILDER45%

add_circleEither team wins (no draw)

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 2.27

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

England

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 18-9

LWLWW

WACroatia7-0

WACzechia2-0

LHSpain2-3

WAFrance6-4

LHArgentina1-2

Czechia

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 3-11

DLLLL

LASpain1-3

LHEngland0-2

LHCroatia1-2

LHMexico0-3

DHSouth Africa1-1

Head-to-head

2026-09-29

Czechia0 - 2England

2021-06-22

Czechia0 - 1England

2019-10-11

Czechia2 - 1England

2019-03-22

England5 - 0Czechia

2008-08-20

England2 - 2Czechia

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

86%Market 89% -3

Draw (X)

9%Market 7%

Away win (2)

5%Market 3%

Over 2.5 goals

79%Market: —

Both teams to score

52%Market: —

Expected goals

3.4 - 0.8

Elo rating probabilities

Home 94%Draw 3%Away 3%

Most likely final scores

Most likely: England 3 - 0 Czechia (10.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 3 - 010.0%
2. 2 - 08.7%
3. 4 - 08.6%
4. 3 - 17.8%
5. 2 - 16.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Czechia

Goals scored by England

01234501.51.20.40.10.00.015.14.01.50.40.10.028.76.82.60.70.10.0310.07.83.00.80.20.048.66.72.60.70.10.055.94.61.80.50.10.0

Our model gives England win 86%, draw 9%, Czechia win 5%. over 2.5 goals 79%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 3.43 - 0.78. largest gap to the market: England win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.