Parma vs Torino prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Parma vs Torino, 2026-10-19, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Parma

VS18:45 GMT

Torino

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.28

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

40%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

46%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 1.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.47

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 ParmaX2 Torino

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Parma (1)	29.3%	29.3%	3.41	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Draw (X)	31.3%	31.3%	3.19	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Torino (2)	39.3%	39.3%	2.54	trending_flat+0.0 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK66%

Over 1.5 goals

Our probability: 66%.

Odds: 1.47

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Parma 1 - 1 Torino

PROBABILITY

13.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.4Exp. cards 3.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Parma

30%3.293.15

Draw

29%3.432.95

Torino

40%2.472.35

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Parma or draw

60%1.68—

Torino or draw

70%1.44—

Either team wins (no draw)

71%1.41—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

67%1.501.45

Under 1.5 goals

33%3.012.65

Over 2.5 goals

40%2.522.30

Under 2.5 goals

60%1.661.62

Over 3.5 goals

20%5.114.20

Under 3.5 goals

80%1.241.17

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

46%2.16—

Not both score (NG)

54%1.86—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

56%1.781.38

Under 7.5 corners

44%2.292.75

Over 8.5 corners

45%2.241.80

Under 8.5 corners

55%1.811.90

Over 9.5 corners

34%2.942.30

Under 9.5 corners

66%1.511.53

Over 10.5 corners

25%4.023.15

Under 10.5 corners

75%1.331.30

Over 11.5 corners

18%5.71—

Under 11.5 corners

82%1.21—

Over 12.5 corners

12%8.38—

Under 12.5 corners

88%1.14—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

80%1.25—

Under 1.5 cards

20%5.07—

Over 2.5 cards

59%1.691.30

Under 2.5 cards

41%2.443.15

Over 3.5 cards

37%2.671.73

Under 3.5 cards

63%1.602.00

Over 4.5 cards

21%4.83—

Under 4.5 cards

79%1.26—

Over 5.5 cards

10%9.61—

Under 5.5 cards

90%1.12—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Parma

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-8

DLWDL

LAInternazionale0-3

DHVirtus Entella1-1

WHGenoa2-1

LAComo1-2

DHMonza1-1

Torino

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 5-6

LWLDW

WHUdinese2-1

DABologna1-1

LHAS Roma0-2

WAFiorentina2-1

LHMonza0-1

Head-to-head

2026-03-13

Torino4 - 1Parma

2025-09-29

Parma2 - 1Torino

2025-03-08

Parma2 - 2Torino

2025-01-05

Torino0 - 0Parma

2021-05-03

Torino1 - 0Parma

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Team comparison

Parma

VS

Torino

#159 ▲2Power Index 44.1

Power Ranking

#128 ▲1Power Index 48.4

€156m15th in the league

Squad value

€171m12th in the league

Alberto Gilardino NEWsince 29 Sep 2026 · 1 games · 0.00 pts/game

Head coach

Ignazio Abatesince 12 Jun 2026 · 8 games · 1.25 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

30%Market 29%

Draw (X)

29%Market 31%

Away win (2)

40%Market 40%

Over 2.5 goals

40%Market 41%

Both teams to score

46%Market: —

Expected goals

1.0 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Parma 1 - 1 Torino (13.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 113.2%
2. 0 - 112.7%
3. 1 - 010.6%
4. 0 - 010.3%
5. 1 - 28.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Torino

Goals scored by Parma

012345010.312.77.93.31.00.3110.613.28.23.41.00.325.56.84.21.80.50.131.92.41.50.60.20.040.50.60.40.20.00.050.10.10.10.00.00.0

Next matches of Parma

24/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayLazio

28/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeUdinese

2/11/2026 · ITA.1AwayAtalanta

Next matches of Torino

23/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeMonza

27/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeComo

1/11/2026 · ITA.1AwayFrosinone

Our model gives Parma win 30%, draw 29%, Torino win 40%. over 2.5 goals 40%. both teams to score 46%. expected goals 1.04 - 1.24. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.