Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo, 2026-10-19, Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, kickoff 00:00 Athens time

stadiumARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FúTBOL•21:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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Estudiantes de La Plata

VS21:00 GMT

San Lorenzo

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.16

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

37%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

42%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Estudiantes de La Plata 1 - 0 San Lorenzo

PROBABILITY

15.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Estudiantes de La Plata

46%2.162.10

Draw

29%3.413.10

San Lorenzo

24%4.113.85

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Estudiantes de La Plata or draw

76%1.32—

San Lorenzo or draw

54%1.86—

Either team wins (no draw)

71%1.41—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

64%1.571.45

Under 1.5 goals

36%2.772.60

Over 2.5 goals

37%2.732.35

Under 2.5 goals

63%1.581.55

Over 3.5 goals

17%5.804.10

Under 3.5 goals

83%1.211.18

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

42%2.36—

Not both score (NG)

58%1.73—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER37%

add_circleEstudiantes de La Plata

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.48

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Estudiantes de La Plata

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-6

LLWDD

DHFlamengo0-0

DACentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)2-2

WHGimnasia (Mendoza)3-0

LAPlatense0-1

LHRosario Central1-3

San Lorenzo

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 3-6

WDLLW

WHDeportivo Riestra1-0

LADefensa y Justicia0-3

LHBoca Juniors0-2

DAIndependiente1-1

WHTalleres (Córdoba)1-0

Head-to-head

2026-04-03

San Lorenzo1 - 0Estudiantes de La Plata

2024-11-05

San Lorenzo1 - 1Estudiantes de La Plata

2024-02-13

San Lorenzo1 - 1Estudiantes de La Plata

2023-09-20

Estudiantes de La Plata0 - 0San Lorenzo

2023-06-21

Estudiantes de La Plata1 - 1San Lorenzo

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Team comparison

Estudiantes de La Plata

VS

San Lorenzo

#161 ▼3Power Index 43.9

Power Ranking

#203 ▲4Power Index 37.5

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

46%Market 46%

Draw (X)

29%Market 30%

Away win (2)

24%Market 24%

Over 2.5 goals

37%Market 40% -3

Both teams to score

42%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Estudiantes de La Plata 1 - 0 San Lorenzo (15.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 015.0%
2. 1 - 112.9%
3. 0 - 011.6%
4. 0 - 19.9%
5. 2 - 09.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by San Lorenzo

Goals scored by Estudiantes de La Plata

012345011.69.94.31.20.30.0115.012.95.51.60.30.129.78.43.61.00.20.034.23.61.60.40.10.041.41.20.50.10.00.050.40.30.10.00.00.0

Next matches of Estudiantes de La Plata

26/10/2026 · ARG.1AwayUnión (Santa Fe)

1/11/2026 · ARG.1HomeInstituto (Córdoba)

8/11/2026 · ARG.1AwayTalleres (Córdoba)

Next matches of San Lorenzo

24/10/2026 · ARG.1HomeNewell's Old Boys

31/10/2026 · ARG.1AwayVélez Sarsfield

8/11/2026 · ARG.1HomePlatense

Our model gives Estudiantes de La Plata win 46%, draw 29%, San Lorenzo win 24%. over 2.5 goals 37%. both teams to score 42%. expected goals 1.30 - 0.86. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.