Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano, 2026-10-19, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumSPANISH LALIGA•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Getafe

VS19:00 GMT

Rayo Vallecano

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.04

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

33%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

41%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

X2 (Rayo Vallecano or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.41

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 GetafeX2 Rayo Vallecano

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Getafe (1)	31.8%	31.4%	3.18	trending_flat-0.3 pp
Draw (X)	32.3%	33.1%	3.02	trending_up+0.8 pp
Rayo Vallecano (2)	35.9%	35.5%	2.82	trending_down-0.4 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

X2 (Rayo Vallecano or draw)

Our probability: 68%.

Indicative odds: 1.41

Goals O/U & BTTS67%

Under 2.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Odds: 1.45

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Getafe 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

PROBABILITY

14.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.6Exp. cards 5.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Getafe

32%3.153.00

Draw

31%3.202.95

Rayo Vallecano

37%2.702.65

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Getafe or draw

63%1.59—

Rayo Vallecano or draw

68%1.46—

Either team wins (no draw)

69%1.46—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

61%1.651.55

Under 1.5 goals

39%2.552.50

Over 2.5 goals

33%3.002.65

Under 2.5 goals

67%1.501.45

Over 3.5 goals

15%6.694.90

Under 3.5 goals

85%1.181.13

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

41%2.43—

Not both score (NG)

59%1.70—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

69%1.45—

Under 7.5 corners

31%3.24—

Over 8.5 corners

58%1.721.47

Under 8.5 corners

42%2.402.40

Over 9.5 corners

47%2.111.90

Under 9.5 corners

53%1.901.80

Over 10.5 corners

37%2.702.45

Under 10.5 corners

63%1.591.47

Over 11.5 corners

28%3.57—

Under 11.5 corners

72%1.39—

Over 12.5 corners

20%4.89—

Under 12.5 corners

80%1.26—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

87%1.15—

Under 2.5 cards

13%7.89—

Over 3.5 cards

74%1.35—

Under 3.5 cards

26%3.90—

Over 4.5 cards

58%1.731.40

Under 4.5 cards

42%2.372.60

Over 5.5 cards

41%2.461.85

Under 5.5 cards

59%1.691.85

Over 6.5 cards

26%3.81—

Under 6.5 cards

74%1.36—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Getafe

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 3-6

DLWLD

DACSU Craiova1-1

LABarcelona0-3

WHMálaga1-0

LAReal Betis0-1

DHDeportivo1-1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-13

LWLWD

DAOsasuna1-1

WHEspanyol2-1

LAReal Madrid1-4

WHRacing Santander3-2

LABarcelona2-5

Head-to-head

2026-05-03

Getafe0 - 2Rayo Vallecano

2026-01-02

Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Getafe

2025-05-02

Rayo Vallecano1 - 0Getafe

2024-08-24

Getafe0 - 0Rayo Vallecano

2024-04-13

Rayo Vallecano0 - 0Getafe

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Team comparison

Getafe

VS

Rayo Vallecano

#86Power Index 54.5

Power Ranking

#65 ▲2Power Index 59.2

€95m15th in the league

Squad value

€101m14th in the league

José Bordalássince 29 Apr 2023 · 144 games · 1.29 pts/game

Head coach

Beñat San Josésince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.14 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

32%Market 32%

Draw (X)

31%Market 32%

Away win (2)

37%Market 36%

Over 2.5 goals

33%Market 34%

Both teams to score

41%Market: —

Expected goals

1.0 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Getafe 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano (14.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 114.0%
2. 1 - 113.5%
3. 0 - 013.1%
4. 1 - 012.6%
5. 0 - 27.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Rayo Vallecano

Goals scored by Getafe

012345013.114.07.52.70.70.2112.613.57.22.60.70.126.16.53.51.20.30.132.02.11.10.40.10.040.50.50.30.10.00.050.10.10.10.00.00.0

Next matches of Getafe

25/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayAthletic Club

1/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeSevilla

8/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayVillarreal

Next matches of Rayo Vallecano

24/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeElche

31/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeCelta Vigo

8/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayReal Sociedad

Our model gives Getafe win 32%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano win 37%. over 2.5 goals 33%. both teams to score 41%. expected goals 0.97 - 1.07. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.