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Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew, 2026-10-19, MLS, kickoff 00:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/MLS/2026-10-19
stadiumMLS•21:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS21:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.71

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MODEL OVER 2.5

72%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

71%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Columbus Crew

PROBABILITY

8.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
FC Cincinnati
42%2.392.30
Draw
22%4.543.80
Columbus Crew
36%2.772.60
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
FC Cincinnati or draw
64%1.56—
Columbus Crew or draw
58%1.72—
Either team wins (no draw)
78%1.28—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
89%1.131.10
Under 1.5 goals
11%8.855.40
Over 2.5 goals
72%1.401.33
Under 2.5 goals
28%3.523.05
Over 3.5 goals
51%1.971.80
Under 3.5 goals
49%2.031.95
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
71%1.40—
Not both score (NG)
29%3.48—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER37%
add_circleFC Cincinnati
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.51
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 11-12

DDLWL
LHNew England Revolution2-3
WAAtlanta United FC3-1
LACF Montréal1-3
DAHouston Dynamo FC2-2
DHCharlotte FC3-3
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 11-6

WWWLW
WHCharlotte FC3-1
LAOrlando City SC2-3
WHInter Miami CF2-1
WACF Montréal2-0
WHOrlando City SC2-1

Head-to-head

2026-07-25
Columbus Crew2 - 1FC Cincinnati
2025-11-08
FC Cincinnati2 - 1Columbus Crew
2025-11-02
Columbus Crew4 - 0FC Cincinnati
2025-10-27
FC Cincinnati1 - 0Columbus Crew
2025-07-12
FC Cincinnati2 - 4Columbus Crew
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Team comparison

#127 ▼8Power Index 48.5
Power Ranking
#87 ▲10Power Index 54.2

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
42%Market 41%
Draw (X)
22%Market 24%
Away win (2)
36%Market 36%
Over 2.5 goals
72%Market 72%
Both teams to score
71%Market: —
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Columbus Crew (8.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 18.4%
  2. 2 - 18.1%
  3. 1 - 27.5%
  4. 2 - 27.2%
  5. 3 - 15.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Columbus Crew
Goals scored by FC Cincinnati
01234502.54.43.92.31.00.414.78.47.54.52.00.724.68.17.24.31.90.732.95.24.62.81.20.441.42.52.21.30.60.250.51.00.90.50.20.1

Next matches of FC Cincinnati

21/10/2026 · USA.1HomeD.C. United
24/10/2026 · USA.1AwayD.C. United
28/10/2026 · USA.1AwayInter Miami CF

Next matches of Columbus Crew

24/10/2026 · USA.1HomeToronto FC
29/10/2026 · USA.1AwayFC Dallas
31/10/2026 · USA.1HomeD.C. United

More matches on this day

Our model gives FC Cincinnati win 42%, draw 22%, Columbus Crew win 36%. over 2.5 goals 72%. both teams to score 71%. expected goals 1.93 - 1.78. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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