Lommel SK vs Waasland-Beveren prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK, 2026-10-09, Belgian Pro League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.94
MODEL OVER 2.5
56%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
Under 3.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waasland-Beveren (1) | 51.9% | 50.7% | 1.97 | trending_down-1.1 pp |
| Draw (X) | 24.1% | 24.3% | 4.11 | trending_flat+0.3 pp |
| Lommel SK (2) | 24.1% | 25% | 4.01 | trending_up+0.9 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 3.5 goals
Our probability: 66%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Waasland-Beveren 1 - 1 Lommel SK
10.9%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Waasland-Beveren
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 5-9
KV Kortrijk0-1
Sint-Truidense2-0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven3-0
Racing Genk0-4
Zulte-Waregem0-4
Lommel SK
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 5-6
KV Mechelen0-0
Union St.-Gilloise0-5
Club Brugge0-1
Cercle Brugge KSV1-0
KVC Westerlo4-0Head-to-head
No recent meetings in the feed.
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Waasland-Beveren 1 - 1 Lommel SK (10.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 110.9%
- 2 - 19.7%
- 1 - 09.5%
- 2 - 08.5%
- 1 - 26.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Lommel SKNext matches of Waasland-Beveren
KVC WesterloUnion St.-Gilloise
Standard LiegeNext matches of Lommel SK
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
KAA Gent
AntwerpMore matches on this day
Galatasaray
Moreirense
PSV Eindhoven
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Málaga
Braga
Our model gives Waasland-Beveren win 52%, draw 24%, Lommel SK win 24%. over 2.5 goals 56%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.78 - 1.15. largest gap to the market: Waasland-Beveren win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.