Lens vs Lyon prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Lens vs Lyon, 2026-10-09, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens (1) | 40.8% | 36.6% | 2.73 | trending_down-4.1 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26.2% | 26.1% | 3.84 | trending_flat-0.2 pp |
| Lyon (2) | 33% | 37.3% | 2.68 | trending_up+4.3 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Lens 1 - 1 Lyon
10.4%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Lens
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 8-7
Standard Liege2-0
AS Monaco1-2
Le Mans2-2
Slavia Prague3-2
Lorient0-1
Lyon
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 10-3
Stade Rennais4-0
Anderlecht2-1
Paris FC0-0
AJ Auxerre3-1
Le Havre AC1-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Lens 1 - 1 Lyon (10.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 110.4%
- 2 - 18.8%
- 1 - 27.8%
- 1 - 07.0%
- 2 - 26.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by LyonNext matches of Lens
Paris FC
Lille
MarseilleNext matches of Lyon
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers
BrestMore matches on this day
Galatasaray
Moreirense
PSV Eindhoven
Borussia Dortmund
Waasland-Beveren
Málaga
Braga
Our model gives Lens win 42%, draw 24%, Lyon win 34%. over 2.5 goals 62%. both teams to score 64%. expected goals 1.70 - 1.49. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.