Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen, 2026-10-09, German Bundesliga, kickoff 21:30 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.44
MODEL OVER 2.5
67%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund (1) | 71.4% | 69.9% | 1.43 | trending_down-1.6 pp |
| Draw (X) | 16.9% | 17.7% | 5.64 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
| Werder Bremen (2) | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.06 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Werder Bremen
10.2%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Borussia Dortmund
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 15-4
VfB Stuttgart1-0
SC Paderborn 073-0
Villarreal3-2
TSG Hoffenheim3-2
Werder Bremen
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 11-8
FC Augsburg3-2
FC Cologne1-1
RB Leipzig3-1
SC Freiburg1-4Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Werder Bremen (10.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 010.2%
- 2 - 19.4%
- 3 - 08.5%
- 1 - 08.1%
- 3 - 17.9%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Werder BremenNext matches of Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
SV ElversbergNext matches of Werder Bremen
MainzTSG HoffenheimVfB StuttgartMore matches on this day
Galatasaray
Moreirense
PSV Eindhoven
Lens
Waasland-Beveren
Málaga
Braga
Our model gives Borussia Dortmund win 72%, draw 17%, Werder Bremen win 12%. over 2.5 goals 67%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 2.51 - 0.92. largest gap to the market: Borussia Dortmund win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.