Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa, 2026-10-09, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 20:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.26
MODEL OVER 2.5
63%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray (1) | 74.2% | 74.2% | 1.35 | trending_flat+0.0 pp |
| Draw (X) | 15.8% | 15.8% | 6.33 | trending_flat+0.0 pp |
| Kasimpasa (2) | 10% | 10% | 10.02 | trending_flat+0.0 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Galatasaray 2 - 0 Kasimpasa
11.6%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Galatasaray
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 8-12
Pendikspor3-3
Trabzonspor0-4
Kocaelispor1-0
Sporting CP1-3
Istanbul Basaksehir3-2
Kasimpasa
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 7-5
Fatih Karagümrük2-1
Konyaspor0-0
Genclerbirligi2-1
Amed SFK2-2Istanbul Basaksehir1-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Galatasaray 2 - 0 Kasimpasa (11.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 011.6%
- 3 - 09.6%
- 1 - 09.4%
- 2 - 19.3%
- 3 - 17.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by KasimpasaNext matches of Galatasaray
FenerbahceKonyasporAmed SFKNext matches of Kasimpasa
Eyupspor
Besiktas
Gaziantep FKMore matches on this day
Moreirense
PSV Eindhoven
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Waasland-Beveren
Málaga
BragaOur model gives Galatasaray win 74%, draw 16%, Kasimpasa win 10%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 2.46 - 0.80. largest gap to the market: Galatasaray win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.