Hungary vs Ukraine prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Ukraine vs Hungary, 2026-10-05, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
HOMEUkraine
Hungary
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
1.98
MODEL OVER 2.5
32%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
40%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Over 1.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine (1) | 36.9% | 35% | 2.86 | trending_down-1.9 pp |
| Draw (X) | 30.7% | 32.5% | 3.08 | trending_up+1.8 pp |
| Hungary (2) | 32.4% | 32.5% | 3.08 | trending_flat+0.2 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 1.5 goals
Αναμενόμενα γκολ: Ukraine 1.20, Hungary 1.08 (σύνολο 2.28).
Η αγορά (DraftKings (ESPN), χωρίς margin) δίνει 1 37%, X 31%, 2 32%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Ukraine 1 - 0 Hungary
14.2%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Ukraine
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 4-5
Northern Ireland0-3
Georgia0-0Hungary1-0
Denmark1-2
Poland2-0Hungary
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 6-3
Georgia1-0Northern Ireland0-0Ukraine0-1
Kazakhstan3-1
Finland2-1Head-to-head
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Ukraine 1 - 0 Hungary (14.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 014.2%
- 0 - 013.9%
- 1 - 113.5%
- 0 - 113.2%
- 2 - 07.2%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Hungary
More matches on this day
Bosnia-Herzegovina
France
Italy
Montenegro
Northern Ireland
Romania
Our model gives Ukraine win 36%, draw 32%, Hungary win 32%. over 2.5 goals 32%. both teams to score 40%. expected goals 1.02 - 0.95. largest gap to the market: Ukraine win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.