Georgia vs Northern Ireland prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Northern Ireland vs Georgia, 2026-10-05, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
HOMENorthern Ireland
Georgia
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.02
MODEL OVER 2.5
33%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
40%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Under 9.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland (1) | 38.4% | 39.3% | 2.54 | trending_up+0.9 pp |
| Draw (X) | 32.3% | 31.8% | 3.14 | trending_down-0.5 pp |
| Georgia (2) | 29.3% | 28.9% | 3.47 | trending_down-0.4 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 9.5 corners
Αναμενόμενα κόρνερ: Northern Ireland 3.7, Georgia 3.8, σύνολο 7.5 (γραμμή 9.5).
Ρυθμός κόρνερ υπέρ σε σχέση με τον μέσο όρο: Northern Ireland x0.88, Georgia x0.99 (δείγμα 24 και 25 ισοδύναμοι αγώνες).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Georgia
14.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Northern Ireland
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 6-3
Ukraine3-0
Hungary0-0Georgia1-0
France1-3
Guinea1-0Georgia
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 3-3
Hungary0-1Ukraine0-0Northern Ireland0-1
Bahrain2-0
Romania1-1Head-to-head
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Georgia (14.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 014.8%
- 1 - 113.4%
- 0 - 013.2%
- 0 - 111.9%
- 2 - 08.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Georgia
More matches on this day
Bosnia-Herzegovina
France
Italy
Montenegro
Romania
Ukraine
Our model gives Northern Ireland win 40%, draw 31%, Georgia win 29%. over 2.5 goals 33%. both teams to score 40%. expected goals 1.12 - 0.90. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.