Armenia vs Montenegro prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Montenegro vs Armenia, 2026-10-05, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
HOMEMontenegro
Armenia
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.99
MODEL OVER 2.5
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
Under 9.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro (1) | 61.4% | 65.7% | 1.52 | trending_up+4.3 pp |
| Draw (X) | 21.9% | 20.1% | 4.98 | trending_down-1.8 pp |
| Armenia (2) | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.03 | trending_down-2.5 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 9.5 corners
Αναμενόμενα κόρνερ: Montenegro 4.6, Armenia 3.0, σύνολο 7.6 (γραμμή 9.5).
Ρυθμός κόρνερ υπέρ σε σχέση με τον μέσο όρο: Montenegro x1.02, Armenia x1.07 (δείγμα 24 και 24 ισοδύναμοι αγώνες).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Montenegro 2 - 0 Armenia
11.3%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Montenegro
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 10-6
Latvia2-1Armenia3-2
Cyprus2-1
Slovakia2-2
Bulgaria1-0Armenia
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-7
Cyprus0-2Montenegro2-3Latvia2-0
Moldova1-1
Kazakhstan1-1Head-to-head
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Montenegro 2 - 0 Armenia (11.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 011.3%
- 1 - 010.7%
- 2 - 19.8%
- 1 - 19.3%
- 3 - 08.0%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Armenia
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Our model gives Montenegro win 66%, draw 20%, Armenia win 14%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 2.12 - 0.87. largest gap to the market: Montenegro win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.