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Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Newell's Old Boys prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), 2026-10-20, Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, kickoff 01:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FúTBOL/2026-10-20
stadiumARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FúTBOL•22:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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Newell's Old BoysHOME

Newell's Old Boys

VS22:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.21

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MODEL OVER 2.5

38%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

42%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Newell's Old Boys 1 - 0 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

PROBABILITY

15.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Newell's Old Boys
50%2.021.91
Draw
28%3.533.25
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
22%4.544.40
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Newell's Old Boys or draw
78%1.28—
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw
50%1.98—
Either team wins (no draw)
72%1.40—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
65%1.54—
Under 1.5 goals
35%2.87—
Over 2.5 goals
38%2.642.35
Under 2.5 goals
62%1.611.56
Over 3.5 goals
18%5.49—
Under 3.5 goals
82%1.22—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
42%2.35—
Not both score (NG)
58%1.74—
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Newell's Old Boys

Newell's Old Boys

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · goals 3-3

DDWDL
LAGimnasia (Mendoza)0-1
DHLanús0-0
WAPlatense1-0
DHVélez Sarsfield1-1
DARosario Central1-1
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 6-9

LLDDD
DHEstudiantes de La Plata2-2
DADeportivo Riestra1-1
DHDefensa y Justicia2-2
LABoca Juniors1-3
LHIndependiente0-1

Head-to-head

2026-04-05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)1 - 3Newell's Old Boys
2025-08-09
Newell's Old Boys1 - 1Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
2025-02-07
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)2 - 0Newell's Old Boys
2024-11-20
Newell's Old Boys2 - 3Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
2024-08-21
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)0 - 0Newell's Old Boys
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Team comparison

#236Power Index 30.6
Power Ranking
#232 ▼1Power Index 32.3

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
50%Market 50%
Draw (X)
28%Market 29%
Away win (2)
22%Market 21%
Over 2.5 goals
38%Market 39%
Both teams to score
42%Market: —
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Newell's Old Boys 1 - 0 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (15.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 015.2%
  2. 1 - 112.5%
  3. 0 - 011.0%
  4. 2 - 010.5%
  5. 0 - 19.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Goals scored by Newell's Old Boys
012345011.09.13.71.00.20.0115.212.55.21.40.30.0210.58.73.61.00.20.034.84.01.60.50.10.041.71.40.60.20.00.050.50.40.20.00.00.0

Next matches of Newell's Old Boys

24/10/2026 · ARG.1AwaySan Lorenzo
1/11/2026 · ARG.1HomeUnión (Santa Fe)
8/11/2026 · ARG.1AwayInstituto (Córdoba)

Next matches of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

26/10/2026 · ARG.1HomeVélez Sarsfield
2/11/2026 · ARG.1AwayPlatense
8/11/2026 · ARG.1HomeLanús

More matches on this day

Our model gives Newell's Old Boys win 50%, draw 28%, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win 22%. over 2.5 goals 38%. both teams to score 42%. expected goals 1.38 - 0.83. largest gap to the market: Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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