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Bodo/Glimt vs Napoli prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt, 2026-10-20, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE/2026-10-20
stadiumUEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
NapoliHOME
VS19:00 GMT

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/GlimtAWAY
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.11

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

15%26%38%49%60%05:0009:0016:30
1 NapoliX2 Bodo/Glimt
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Napoli (1)55.6%55.9%1.79trending_flat+0.3 pp
Draw (X)23.2%23.4%4.28trending_flat+0.1 pp
Bodo/Glimt (2)21.2%20.8%4.81trending_flat-0.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Napoli 1 - 1 Bodo/Glimt

PROBABILITY

10.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Napoli
57%1.761.71
Draw
22%4.504.10
Bodo/Glimt
21%4.784.50
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Napoli or draw
79%1.26—
Bodo/Glimt or draw
43%2.32—
Either team wins (no draw)
78%1.29—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
82%1.221.18
Under 1.5 goals
18%5.544.15
Over 2.5 goals
60%1.661.60
Under 2.5 goals
40%2.502.35
Over 3.5 goals
38%2.652.35
Under 3.5 goals
62%1.611.55
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
59%1.71—
Not both score (NG)
41%2.41—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER48%
add_circleNapoli
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.95
BUILDER40%
add_circleNapoli
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.37
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Napoli

Napoli

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-5

WDWLL
LAVenezia0-1
LAVillarreal1-3
WHFrosinone3-0
DAFiorentina1-1
WHBologna1-0
Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 10-5

WLWWW
WAHamarkameratene2-0
WHBorussia Dortmund1-0
WHKristiansund BK3-1
LASK Brann1-2
WHSandefjord3-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

VS
Bodo/Glimt
#43 ▼3Power Index 65.6
Power Ranking
—
€425m7th in the league
Squad value
—
Massimiliano Allegrisince 3 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.11 pts/game
Head coach
—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
57%Market 57%
Draw (X)
22%Market 23%
Away win (2)
21%Market 21%
Over 2.5 goals
60%Market 60%
Both teams to score
59%Market: —
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Napoli 1 - 1 Bodo/Glimt (10.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.0%
  2. 2 - 19.9%
  3. 1 - 08.8%
  4. 2 - 08.8%
  5. 3 - 16.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Bodo/Glimt
Goals scored by Napoli
01234504.55.02.81.10.30.118.810.05.62.10.60.128.89.95.62.10.60.135.86.53.71.40.40.142.93.21.80.70.20.051.11.30.70.30.10.0

Next matches of Napoli

24/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAS Roma
28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayMonza
1/11/2026 · ITA.1AwayJuventus

More matches on this day

Our model gives Napoli win 57%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt win 21%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.98 - 1.13. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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