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Borussia Dortmund vs Sabah FK prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund, 2026-10-20, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE/2026-10-20
stadiumUEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE•16:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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Sabah FKHOME

Sabah FK

VS16:45 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.63

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MODEL OVER 2.5

70%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

5%24%43%61%80%05:0009:0014:0016:30
1 Sabah FKX2 Borussia Dortmund
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Sabah FK (1)10.6%9.5%10.49trending_down-1.1 pp
Draw (X)16%15.9%6.29trending_flat-0.1 pp
Borussia Dortmund (2)73.4%74.6%1.34trending_up+1.2 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Sabah FK 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

PROBABILITY

9.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Sabah FK
10%10.359.00
Draw
15%6.726.00
Borussia Dortmund
75%1.331.30
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Sabah FK or draw
25%4.08—
Borussia Dortmund or draw
90%1.11—
Either team wins (no draw)
85%1.17—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
88%1.14—
Under 1.5 goals
12%8.30—
Over 2.5 goals
70%1.42—
Under 2.5 goals
30%3.37—
Over 3.5 goals
49%2.03—
Under 3.5 goals
51%1.97—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
56%1.79—
Not both score (NG)
44%2.26—
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Sabah FK

Sabah FK

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 12-8

WLWLW
WHSlavia Prague2-0
LAManchester United0-4
WHHapoel Be'er5-2
LAHapoel Be'er1-2
WHAGF4-0
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 6-3

WWDLD
DA1. FC Union Berlin0-0
LABodo/Glimt0-1
DHWerder Bremen2-2
WAVfB Stuttgart1-0
WHSC Paderborn 073-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

—
Power Ranking
#19 ▼1Power Index 74.4
—
Squad value
€588m2nd in the league
—
Head coach
Niko Kovacsince 2 Feb 2025 · 82 games · 1.98 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
10%Market 10%
Draw (X)
15%Market 15%
Away win (2)
75%Market 75%
Over 2.5 goals
70%Market: —
Both teams to score
56%Market: —
Expected goals
0.9 - 2.7

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Sabah FK 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund (9.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 0 - 29.8%
  2. 0 - 38.9%
  3. 1 - 28.9%
  4. 1 - 38.1%
  5. 0 - 17.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Borussia Dortmund
Goals scored by Sabah FK
01234502.67.29.88.96.13.312.46.58.98.15.53.021.12.94.03.72.51.430.30.91.21.10.80.440.10.20.30.20.20.150.00.00.00.00.00.0

Next matches of Borussia Dortmund

24/10/2026 · GER.1HomeEintracht Frankfurt
31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayBayern Munich
7/11/2026 · GER.1HomeSV Elversberg

More matches on this day

Our model gives Sabah FK win 10%, draw 15%, Borussia Dortmund win 75%. over 2.5 goals 70%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 0.90 - 2.73. largest gap to the market: Borussia Dortmund win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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