Montenegro vs Armenia: prediction and analysis
HOMEMontenegro
Armenia
AWAYPROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.99
MODEL OVER 2.5
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
Under 9.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro (1) | 61.4% | 65.7% | 1.52 | trending_up+4.3 pp |
| Draw (X) | 21.9% | 20.1% | 4.98 | trending_down-1.8 pp |
| Armenia (2) | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.03 | trending_down-2.5 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 9.5 corners
Αναμενόμενα κόρνερ: Montenegro 4.6, Armenia 3.0, σύνολο 7.6 (γραμμή 9.5).
Ρυθμός κόρνερ υπέρ σε σχέση με τον μέσο όρο: Montenegro x1.02, Armenia x1.07 (δείγμα 24 και 24 ισοδύναμοι αγώνες).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Montenegro 2 - 0 Armenia
11.3%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability comes from the model score grid. Odds are indicative (product of leg prices adjusted for correlation), not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Montenegro
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 10-6
Latvia2-1Armenia3-2
Cyprus2-1
Slovakia2-2
Bulgaria1-0Armenia
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-7
Cyprus0-2Montenegro2-3Latvia2-0
Moldova1-1
Kazakhstan1-1Head-to-head
Quantitative Telemetry: Model vs Market
Green bar and left number: our model. Cyan marker and right number: market implied probability. Estimates, not guarantees.
Draw: 19%
Poisson from expected goals. Rows: Montenegro. Columns: Armenia. %