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FC Porto vs Real Betis prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Real Betis vs FC Porto, 2026-10-14, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE/2026-10-14
stadiumUEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS19:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.90

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MODEL OVER 2.5

55%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

58%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

5

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.47

All Tips
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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%28%35%43%50%05:0009:0011:3014:0016:30
1 Real BetisX2 FC Porto
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Real Betis (1)46.5%45.2%2.21trending_down-1.3 pp
Draw (X)25.4%26%3.84trending_up+0.6 pp
FC Porto (2)28.1%28.8%3.48trending_up+0.7 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Odds: 1.47
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Real Betis 1 - 1 FC Porto

PROBABILITY

11.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 4.2
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Betis
46%2.162.10
Draw
25%4.013.65
FC Porto
29%3.483.40
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Real Betis or draw
71%1.40—
FC Porto or draw
54%1.86—
Either team wins (no draw)
75%1.33—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
79%1.271.18
Under 1.5 goals
21%4.724.05
Over 2.5 goals
55%1.811.70
Under 2.5 goals
45%2.242.15
Over 3.5 goals
33%3.032.60
Under 3.5 goals
67%1.491.47
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
58%1.73—
Not both score (NG)
42%2.38—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
67%1.49—
Under 7.5 corners
33%3.03—
Over 8.5 corners
56%1.791.53
Under 8.5 corners
44%2.272.30
Over 9.5 corners
45%2.231.95
Under 9.5 corners
55%1.811.75
Over 10.5 corners
35%2.882.55
Under 10.5 corners
65%1.531.43
Over 11.5 corners
26%3.86—
Under 11.5 corners
74%1.35—
Over 12.5 corners
19%5.35—
Under 12.5 corners
81%1.23—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
91%1.10—
Under 1.5 cards
9%11.02—
Over 2.5 cards
78%1.28—
Under 2.5 cards
22%4.56—
Over 3.5 cards
60%1.661.67
Under 3.5 cards
40%2.512.07
Over 4.5 cards
41%2.422.50
Under 4.5 cards
59%1.701.45
Over 5.5 cards
25%3.93—
Under 5.5 cards
75%1.34—
Over 6.5 cards
14%6.98—
Under 6.5 cards
86%1.17—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER38%
add_circleReal Betis
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.41
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Real Betis

Real Betis

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 12-6

WWWDW
WHOsasuna5-2
DADeportivo1-1
WHGetafe1-0
WAVillarreal2-1
WALille3-2
FC Porto

FC Porto

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 11-6

WLWWW
WAMaritimo2-1
WHBenfica3-1
WACasa Pia4-1
LHManchester City0-2
WHMoreirense2-1

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

#40 ▲1Power Index 66.5
Power Ranking
#20 ▼1Power Index 74.4
€258m6th in the league
Squad value
€472m1st in the league
Manuel Pellegrinisince 1 Aug 2020 · 322 games · 1.69 pts/game
Head coach
Francesco Fariolisince 6 Jul 2025 · 64 games · 2.38 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
46%Market 46%
Draw (X)
25%Market 26%
Away win (2)
29%Market 28%
Over 2.5 goals
55%Market 57%
Both teams to score
58%Market: —
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Real Betis 1 - 1 FC Porto (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.4%
  2. 2 - 19.4%
  3. 1 - 09.1%
  4. 2 - 07.5%
  5. 1 - 27.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Porto
Goals scored by Real Betis
01234505.56.94.31.80.60.119.111.47.13.00.90.227.59.45.82.40.80.234.15.13.21.30.40.141.72.11.30.60.20.050.60.70.40.20.10.0

Next matches of Real Betis

25/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayCelta Vigo
31/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeMálaga
8/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayElche

Next matches of FC Porto

24/10/2026 · POR.1AwayGil Vicente
31/10/2026 · POR.1HomeEstoril
8/11/2026 · POR.1AwayVitória de Guimaraes

More matches on this day

Our model gives Real Betis win 46%, draw 25%, FC Porto win 29%. over 2.5 goals 55%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 1.65 - 1.25. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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